← Smart money
0xce40…da67
SharpEdge
-3.3pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
14% @ 17.5¢
Brier
0.095
Resolved
4883
Avg size
$46
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 23% (66/286) | +9% | 286 |
| Politics | 25% (4/16) | -45% | 16 |
- Other286 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (66/286)
- ROI
- +9%
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (4/16)
- ROI
- -45%
Track record
23% hit · 70/302- Yes$200 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$388 @ 46.4¢
- Yes$812 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 28.8¢
- Yes$340 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 8.9¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 56.0¢
- Yes$342 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$91 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$28 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 27.3¢
- Yes$480 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$791 @ 20.4¢
- No$783 @ 72.6¢
- Yes$290 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 31.0¢
- Yes$310 @ 11.9¢
- No$675 @ 58.8¢
- Yes$113 @ 5.6¢
- No$10.4k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 58.7¢
- Yes$358 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$119 @ 9.5¢
- Yes$263 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$42 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$166 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$524 @ 12.9¢
- Yes$814 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$738 @ 22.5¢
- No$200 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$533 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$205 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$179 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 56.7¢
- Yes$160 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$273 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$312 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$462 @ 21.2¢
- Yes$317 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$224 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$42 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 62.4¢
- Yes$27 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$203 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 38.4¢
- No$1.4k @ 83.8¢
- Yes$302 @ 4.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $280 | 14.0¢ |
- Yes$280 @ 14.0¢