0xce06…9a1e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xce06b96c7a09524efd28265b57c9fdbfa9a29a1e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.8pp

ROI

+82%

Win rate

34% @ 26.9¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

246

Avg size

$50

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (29/88)	+94%	88
Politics	33% (4/12)	+10%	12

Other88 bets
Hit rate
33% (29/88)
ROI
+94%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
33% (4/12)
ROI
+10%

Track record

33% hit · 33/100

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$51	39.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	$26	29.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?	Yes	$20	19.0¢	Won
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?	No	$9	14.3¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	$100	9.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Too late" during events with Rutte?	Yes	$10	31.2¢	Lost
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	$103	29.0¢	Won
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?	No	$40	40.0¢	Lost
Will Bernie Sanders say "Netanyahu" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?	No	$20	18.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?	No	$122	6.1¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?	Yes	$117	34.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?	Yes	$20	46.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Free World" during the UK state banquet on September 17?	Yes	$10	27.7¢	Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	$30	17.4¢	Won
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	$19	3.7¢	Lost
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	$282	41.1¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Tariff" during Colbert show on July 31?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?	Yes	$55	20.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Gay" during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	$5	12.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	$54	5.4¢	Lost
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?	Yes	$12	4.5¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?	No	$104	12.2¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?	Yes	$100	60.9¢	Won
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?	Yes	$60	24.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Trump" 3+ times during Colbert show on July 31?	Yes	$11	46.0¢	Lost
Will Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23?	Yes	$28	56.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$100	86.0¢	Won
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	Yes	$72	29.3¢	Lost
Will a candidate say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?	Yes	$30	77.0¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$520	59.9¢	Won
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?	Yes	$100	67.0¢	Lost
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	Yes	$25	0.7¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Biden" during Colbert show on July 31?	No	$10	25.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?	Yes	$100	14.0¢	Lost
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?	No	$15	27.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?	Yes	$20	42.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Lost
Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?	No	$50	67.1¢	Lost
Weed rescheduled in 2025?	Yes	$40	47.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$200	72.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?	No	$20	29.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$1.4k	25.5¢	Won
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?	No	$60	4.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	$257	7.9¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$103	16.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$100	15.3¢	Lost
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Zohran Mamdani?	Yes	$35	77.0¢	Won

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$51 @ 39.0¢
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?Won
No$26 @ 29.1¢
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Won
Yes$20 @ 19.0¢
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Lost
No$9 @ 14.3¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.6¢
Will Trump say "Too late" during events with Rutte?Lost
Yes$10 @ 31.2¢
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Won
Yes$103 @ 29.0¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Lost
No$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Netanyahu" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Lost
No$20 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Lost
No$122 @ 6.1¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Won
Yes$117 @ 34.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Lost
Yes$20 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump say "Free World" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.7¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
No$30 @ 17.4¢
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Lost
Yes$19 @ 3.7¢
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Lost
Yes$282 @ 41.1¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Tariff" during Colbert show on July 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?Lost
Yes$55 @ 20.2¢
Will Trump say "Gay" during TPUSA events on April 17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$54 @ 5.4¢
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Lost
Yes$12 @ 4.5¢
Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Lost
No$104 @ 12.2¢
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?Won
Yes$100 @ 60.9¢
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?Lost
Yes$60 @ 24.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Trump" 3+ times during Colbert show on July 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 46.0¢
Will Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23?Lost
Yes$28 @ 56.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Lost
Yes$72 @ 29.3¢
Will a candidate say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?Won
Yes$30 @ 77.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$520 @ 59.9¢
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?Lost
Yes$100 @ 67.0¢
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Lost
Yes$25 @ 0.7¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Biden" during Colbert show on July 31?Lost
No$10 @ 25.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?Lost
Yes$100 @ 14.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Lost
No$15 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Lost
Yes$20 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?Lost
No$50 @ 67.1¢
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Lost
Yes$40 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Won
Yes$200 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Lost
No$20 @ 29.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 25.5¢
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?Lost
No$60 @ 4.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Won
Yes$257 @ 7.9¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$103 @ 16.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$100 @ 15.3¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Zohran Mamdani?Won
Yes$35 @ 77.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$420	65.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$342	48.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$157	8.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$120	47.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$120	41.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$60	44.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$50	48.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$50	46.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$50	45.0¢
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$50	38.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$50	43.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$40	19.9¢

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$420 @ 65.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$342 @ 48.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$157 @ 8.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$120 @ 47.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics
Yes$120 @ 41.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$60 @ 44.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Politics
Yes$50 @ 48.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics
Yes$50 @ 46.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$50 @ 45.0¢
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?Politics
Yes$50 @ 38.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$50 @ 43.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?Politics
Yes$40 @ 19.9¢