0xcdc4…a880

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcdc495702d5caabf60301025c5a2dd4c1a66a880
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.1pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

9% @ 7.4¢

Brier

0.048

Resolved

4732

Avg size

$43

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	28% (63/223)	+20%	223
Politics	100% (2/2)	+14%	2
Sports	100% (1/1)	+30%	1

Other223 bets
Hit rate
28% (63/223)
ROI
+20%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+14%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%

Track record

29% hit · 66/226

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US Open: Luca Nardi vs Tomas Machac	Nardi	$99	33.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?	No	$3.0k	74.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on July 31 at 5PM ET?	Yes	$214	4.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?	Yes	$551	54.7¢	Lost
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz	Zverev	$833	37.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say “God / Hell” 10+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?	Yes	$449	43.8¢	Won
Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?	Yes	$43	13.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?	Yes	$52	20.9¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	$878	0.1¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	Yes	$300	30.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4400 August 4–10?	Yes	$812	40.6¢	Lost
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?	Yes	$622	7.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3700 on July 23 at 5PM ET?	Yes	$480	16.0¢	Lost
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?	Yes	$1.6k	55.0¢	Lost
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?	Yes	$483	38.0¢	Lost
US Open: Francisco Comesana vs Alex Michelsen	Comesana	$301	31.9¢	Won
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkova	Anisimova	$403	70.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?	Yes	$10	25.0¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open?	No	$702	32.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$53	26.3¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?	No	$1.1k	5.6¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?	Yes	$206	44.0¢	Won
Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?	No	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Elon / Musk" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?	Yes	$17	7.2¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?	Yes	$340	8.5¢	Lost
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$75	1.5¢	Lost
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W)	Samsonova	$50	25.0¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$611	76.4¢	Won
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$232	23.2¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?	No	$103	51.5¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	$17.0k	23.8¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$450	45.0¢	Lost
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?	Yes	$13	0.7¢	Lost
US Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Holger Rune	Zandschulp	$1.3k	25.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $3500 July 28–August 3?	Yes	$4.2k	70.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3700 on August 2 at 5PM ET?	Yes	$171	3.6¢	Lost
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz	Alcaraz	$2.0k	51.3¢	Won
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Rybakina	Mboko	$2.2k	30.8¢	Won
US Open: Valentin Royer vs Bu Yunchaokete	Royer	$519	39.9¢	Won
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$218	17.0¢	Lost
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Vit Kopriva	Kopriva	$12	3.0¢	Lost
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?	No	$1.1k	27.7¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?	Yes	$999	6.0¢	Lost
US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka	$369	12.0¢	Lost
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Shelton	Cobolli	$1.3k	32.2¢	Lost
US Open: Jakub Mensik vs Nicolas Jarry	Jarry	$96	32.0¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell say "Russia" during the May meeting?	Yes	$41	10.6¢	Lost
Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$51	0.4¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?	No	$57	28.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Sanction" during his NATO speech?	Yes	$8	25.0¢	Lost

US Open: Luca Nardi vs Tomas MachacLost
Nardi$99 @ 33.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Lost
No$3.0k @ 74.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on July 31 at 5PM ET?Lost
Yes$214 @ 4.7¢
Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Lost
Yes$551 @ 54.7¢
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz Lost
Zverev$833 @ 37.6¢
Will Trump say “God / Hell” 10+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Won
Yes$449 @ 43.8¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?Lost
Yes$43 @ 13.1¢
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Lost
Yes$52 @ 20.9¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$878 @ 0.1¢
Ethereum all time high before 2026?Won
Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4400 August 4–10?Lost
Yes$812 @ 40.6¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Lost
Yes$622 @ 7.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3700 on July 23 at 5PM ET?Lost
Yes$480 @ 16.0¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 55.0¢
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?Lost
Yes$483 @ 38.0¢
US Open: Francisco Comesana vs Alex MichelsenWon
Comesana$301 @ 31.9¢
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. PavlyuchenkovaWon
Anisimova$403 @ 70.9¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Lost
Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? Won
No$702 @ 32.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$53 @ 26.3¢
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Lost
No$1.1k @ 5.6¢
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Won
Yes$206 @ 44.0¢
Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Lost
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon / Musk" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Lost
Yes$17 @ 7.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?Lost
Yes$340 @ 8.5¢
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$75 @ 1.5¢
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W) Lost
Samsonova$50 @ 25.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
No$611 @ 76.4¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Lost
Yes$232 @ 23.2¢
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?Won
No$103 @ 51.5¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
No$17.0k @ 23.8¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.7¢
US Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Holger RuneLost
Zandschulp$1.3k @ 25.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $3500 July 28–August 3?Won
Yes$4.2k @ 70.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3700 on August 2 at 5PM ET?Lost
Yes$171 @ 3.6¢
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz Won
Alcaraz $2.0k @ 51.3¢
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. RybakinaWon
Mboko$2.2k @ 30.8¢
US Open: Valentin Royer vs Bu YunchaoketeWon
Royer$519 @ 39.9¢
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$218 @ 17.0¢
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Vit KoprivaLost
Kopriva$12 @ 3.0¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Won
No$1.1k @ 27.7¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Lost
Yes$999 @ 6.0¢
US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito NishiokaLost
Nishioka$369 @ 12.0¢
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. SheltonLost
Cobolli$1.3k @ 32.2¢
US Open: Jakub Mensik vs Nicolas JarryLost
Jarry$96 @ 32.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Russia" during the May meeting?Lost
Yes$41 @ 10.6¢
Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$51 @ 0.4¢
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?Won
No$57 @ 28.5¢
Will Trump say "Sanction" during his NATO speech?Lost
Yes$8 @ 25.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$25	94.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$25	58.3¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$6	97.6¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Politics	No	$5	95.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$25 @ 94.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$25 @ 58.3¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$6 @ 97.6¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics
No$5 @ 95.0¢