0xcdae…b512

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other66 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (55/66)

  ROI

  +16%

• Politics10 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (10/10)

  ROI

  +21%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (5/5)

  ROI

  +22%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +13%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +21%

• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$33 @ 83.4¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$3 @ 88.2¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
  No$10 @ 70.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Won
  Yes$10 @ 85.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Won
  No$10 @ 72.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$73 @ 76.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$15 @ 68.3¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Won
  No$10 @ 73.0¢
• US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Won
  No$25 @ 88.1¢
• EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?Won
  No$10 @ 80.0¢
• Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Won
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Won
  No$10 @ 85.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
  No$4 @ 79.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Won
  No$10 @ 88.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$5 @ 72.0¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Won
  No$10 @ 89.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Won
  No$50 @ 84.1¢
• US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Won
  No$15 @ 86.3¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Won
  No$15 @ 85.0¢
• Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Won
  No$4 @ 89.5¢
• Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Won
  No$20 @ 72.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Won
  No$2 @ 85.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$5 @ 85.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
  No$10 @ 81.0¢
• Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1 @ 45.0¢
• Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenWon
  Usyk$2 @ 68.6¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$51 @ 88.5¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
  No$2 @ 85.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Lost
  No$1 @ 75.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Won
  No$10 @ 87.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
  No$3 @ 74.8¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
  No$6 @ 46.9¢
• Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Won
  No$5 @ 84.0¢
• Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Won
  No$1 @ 85.0¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?Won
  No$8 @ 73.3¢
• US military action against Iran before July?Lost
  No$25 @ 62.5¢
• Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 77.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
  No$8 @ 90.0¢
• Will Trump say the "N word" in November?Won
  No$5 @ 86.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Won
  No$3 @ 87.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Won
  No$1 @ 86.0¢
• Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Won
  No$1 @ 79.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
  Yes$15 @ 82.5¢
• U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? Won
  No$20 @ 77.6¢
• Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Won
  No$1 @ 81.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Won
  No$5 @ 87.0¢
• 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Won
  No$5 @ 65.0¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Won
  No$30 @ 84.5¢
• Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Won
  No$10 @ 77.0¢

Current positions

• U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Politics
  No$151 @ 96.2¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$131 @ 91.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$101 @ 94.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$53 @ 92.3¢
• Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$23 @ 90.1¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$5 @ 83.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
  Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?Geopolitics
  No$4 @ 86.6¢
• US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics
  No$4 @ 87.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$4 @ 86.0¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$4 @ 71.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 88.0¢
• Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics
  No$2 @ 89.4¢