0xcd3a…68a9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcd3aa8310f09bc5b1b44c06adae6360bc68368a9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

45% @ 36.5¢

Brier

0.238

Resolved

207

Avg size

$70

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (61/135)	+18%	135
Sports	18% (2/11)	-72%	11
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Other135 bets
Hit rate
45% (61/135)
ROI
+18%
Sports11 bets
Hit rate
18% (2/11)
ROI
-72%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Track record

42% hit · 63/150

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	Flavio Cobolli	$59	20.0¢	Lost
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	$77	62.3¢	Lost
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	$47	48.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	$10	67.8¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)	Real Madrid CF	$5	22.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	$5	47.0¢	Lost
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	$54	18.0¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	$30	61.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	$95	62.3¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	$20	38.0¢	Lost
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?	No	$35	42.0¢	Lost
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?	Yes	$125	60.6¢	Lost
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?	Yes	$103	56.0¢	Won
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$20	25.0¢	Won
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$40	34.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "AI" or "Crypto" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?	No	$42	84.8¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?	Yes	$58	45.0¢	Lost
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$8	7.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?	Yes	$714	84.5¢	Won
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?	Yes	$57	63.0¢	Lost
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$10	9.1¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$32	31.1¢	Lost
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$10	13.9¢	Won
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$7	8.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?	Yes	$11	35.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?	Yes	$117	36.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?	Yes	$17	47.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?	Yes	$53	62.0¢	Won
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz	Sinner	$195	65.0¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$222	17.0¢	Lost
Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?	Yes	$126	26.2¢	Lost
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?	Yes	$80	31.9¢	Lost
Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	$20	7.9¢	Lost
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?	Yes	$11	57.0¢	Lost
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	$13	12.0¢	Lost
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$7	6.0¢	Won
Heat vs. Knicks	Knicks	$102	69.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Thunder	Thunder	$368	89.0¢	Won
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$20	27.0¢	Won
Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-21?	Yes	$8	38.7¢	Lost
Wimbledon: Mochizuki vs. Khachanov	Khachanov	$54	67.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Lost
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?	Yes	$91	45.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?	Yes	$127	47.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?	Yes	$324	88.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	$10	42.0¢	Won
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?	Yes	$5	3.4¢	Won
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?	Yes	$38	49.0¢	Won
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	36.1¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$336	75.2¢	Won

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevLost
Flavio Cobolli$59 @ 20.0¢
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderLost
Aryna Sabalenka$77 @ 62.3¢
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceLost
Martin Landaluce$47 @ 48.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETLost
Up$10 @ 67.8¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$5 @ 22.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?Lost
Yes$54 @ 18.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$30 @ 61.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Lost
Yes$95 @ 62.3¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$20 @ 38.0¢
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?Lost
No$35 @ 42.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?Lost
Yes$125 @ 60.6¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?Won
Yes$103 @ 56.0¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Won
Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Won
Yes$40 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Crypto" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Won
No$42 @ 84.8¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?Lost
Yes$58 @ 45.0¢
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?Won
Yes$714 @ 84.5¢
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?Lost
Yes$57 @ 63.0¢
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$32 @ 31.1¢
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Won
Yes$10 @ 13.9¢
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?Lost
Yes$7 @ 8.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Won
Yes$11 @ 35.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?Won
Yes$117 @ 36.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?Won
Yes$17 @ 47.0¢
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?Won
Yes$53 @ 62.0¢
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz Lost
Sinner $195 @ 65.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$222 @ 17.0¢
Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?Lost
Yes$126 @ 26.2¢
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?Lost
Yes$80 @ 31.9¢
Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.9¢
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?Lost
Yes$11 @ 57.0¢
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?Lost
Yes$13 @ 12.0¢
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Won
Yes$7 @ 6.0¢
Heat vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$102 @ 69.0¢
Grizzlies vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$368 @ 89.0¢
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Won
Yes$20 @ 27.0¢
Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-21?Lost
Yes$8 @ 38.7¢
Wimbledon: Mochizuki vs. KhachanovWon
Khachanov$54 @ 67.0¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?Lost
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?Lost
Yes$91 @ 45.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?Won
Yes$127 @ 47.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?Won
Yes$324 @ 88.0¢
Celtics vs. RaptorsWon
Celtics$10 @ 42.0¢
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Won
Yes$5 @ 3.4¢
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?Won
Yes$38 @ 49.0¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 36.1¢
Hornets vs. CavaliersWon
Cavaliers$336 @ 75.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echargui	—	Aleksandar Kovacevic	$209	75.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$95	62.3¢
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet	—	Corentin Moutet	$78	67.0¢
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Sports	Aryna Sabalenka	$77	62.3¢
Pacers vs. Celtics	—	Pacers	$71	47.7¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Sports	Germany	$64	42.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev	Sports	Flavio Cobolli	$59	20.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	Sports	Yes	$54	18.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	—	Martin Landaluce	$47	48.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$32	31.1¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$30	61.0¢
Spain snap election called by October 31?	Politics	No	$28	16.2¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	—	Aryna Sabalenka	$20	49.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$20	38.0¢
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	—	Yes	$13	12.0¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?	—	Yes	$13	63.0¢
Will DR Congo vs. Benin end in a draw?	—	Yes	$11	8.6¢
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?	—	Yes	$11	57.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	—	Up	$10	67.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	—	Down	$10	51.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?	—	Yes	$8	8.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-4.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$5	10.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	—	Down	$5	47.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	—	Down	$5	42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	—	Down	$5	22.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$5	22.0¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?	—	Yes	$0	41.0¢

Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echargui—
Aleksandar Kovacevic$209 @ 75.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$95 @ 62.3¢
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet—
Corentin Moutet$78 @ 67.0¢
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderSports
Aryna Sabalenka$77 @ 62.3¢
Pacers vs. Celtics—
Pacers$71 @ 47.7¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Sports
Germany$64 @ 42.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevSports
Flavio Cobolli$59 @ 20.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?Sports
Yes$54 @ 18.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce—
Martin Landaluce$47 @ 48.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$32 @ 31.1¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$30 @ 61.0¢
Spain snap election called by October 31?Politics
No$28 @ 16.2¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina—
Aryna Sabalenka$20 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$20 @ 38.0¢
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?—
Yes$13 @ 12.0¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?—
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will DR Congo vs. Benin end in a draw?—
Yes$11 @ 8.6¢
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30?—
Yes$11 @ 57.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET—
Up$10 @ 67.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET—
Down$10 @ 51.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?—
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-4.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$5 @ 10.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET—
Down$5 @ 47.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET—
Down$5 @ 42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET—
Down$5 @ 22.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$5 @ 22.0¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?—
Yes$0 @ 41.0¢