0xcd36…54c1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcd36de0655b154d2e76066dd57b1a2237bfd54c1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+15.5pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

52% @ 36.4¢

Brier

0.282

Resolved

162

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	33% (3/9)	+47%	9
Politics	33% (1/3)	+16%	3
Other	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
+47%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+16%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

24% hit · 4/17

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$3	11.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$50	55.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	$19	63.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$2	43.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$3	58.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$15	25.8¢	Won
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$48	35.3¢	Lost
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Mariano Navone	$2	40.0¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	$4	6.6¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	Yes	$3	13.1¢	Lost
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	$6	61.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	Yes	$10	7.7¢	Lost
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$146	38.1¢	Won
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$15	15.4¢	Lost

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$50 @ 55.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Lost
Yes$19 @ 63.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
No$2 @ 43.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$15 @ 25.8¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$48 @ 35.3¢
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner TienLost
Mariano Navone$2 @ 40.0¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.6¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.1¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Lost
No$6 @ 61.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.7¢
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Won
Yes$146 @ 38.1¢
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane	—	Terence Atmane	$3	15.8¢

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane—
Terence Atmane$3 @ 15.8¢