← Smart money
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SharpEdge
+8.2pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
72% @ 64.2¢
Brier
0.111
Resolved
1015
Avg size
$97
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 82% (184/224) | +6% | 224 |
| Sports | 58% (38/66) | +19% | 66 |
| Politics | 92% (24/26) | +22% | 26 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (3/4) | +10% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (3/3) | +18% | 3 |
- Other224 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (184/224)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports66 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (38/66)
- ROI
- +19%
- Politics26 bets
- Hit rate
- 92% (24/26)
- ROI
- +22%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +10%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
78% hit · 252/323- Yes$5 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 78.0¢
- Indiana Fever$5 @ 82.0¢
- Atlanta Dream$5 @ 82.0¢
- Falcons$5 @ 80.0¢
- Pavel Kotov$5 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 81.0¢
- Kenta Miyoshi$252 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$199 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$357 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 84.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$5 @ 80.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$5 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 14.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 78.0¢
- G2 Gozen$101 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 88.0¢
- Patriots$5 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$249 @ 86.0¢
- Bilal Hasan$5 @ 86.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$5 @ 80.0¢
- Aryna Sabalenka$249 @ 86.0¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$248 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$315 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$887 @ 80.0¢
- Washington Mystics$5 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$253 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 87.0¢
- Hanwha Life Esports$5 @ 76.0¢
- NightBirds$5 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 64.0¢
- Over$5 @ 87.0¢
- Cristina Bucsa$5 @ 76.0¢
- FC Barcelona$5 @ 76.0¢
- Team Synapse$5 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 76.0¢
- Over$5 @ 78.0¢
- LOUD$5 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 77.0¢
- Over$5 @ 81.0¢
- Hugo Dellien$38 @ 84.0¢
- Veronika Erjavec$5 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$202 @ 76.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | Politics | No | $3.6k | 89.6¢ |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | Politics | No | $855 | 85.5¢ |
- No$3.6k @ 89.6¢
- No$855 @ 85.5¢