0xcca9…af95

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcca96722a7a98c764b10be70f9711890701eaf95
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.4pp

ROI

+115%

Win rate

31% @ 15.7¢

Brier

0.191

Resolved

1087

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (198/388)	+111%	388
Sports	55% (31/56)	+83%	56
Politics	25% (2/8)	+59%	8
Science	83% (5/6)	+118%	6
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	100% (2/2)	+1066%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+87%	1

Other388 bets
Hit rate
51% (198/388)
ROI
+111%
Sports56 bets
Hit rate
55% (31/56)
ROI
+83%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
+59%
Science6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+118%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+1066%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+87%

Track record

52% hit · 239/463

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$9	10.0¢	Lost
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-07?	No	$9	21.0¢	Lost
IR Iran leading at halftime?	No	$7	31.0¢	Won
Will FK Sochi win on 2026-04-17?	No	$7	28.0¢	Lost
Will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $115 Week of March 30 2026?	No	$7	15.6¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?	Yes	$5	0.8¢	Lost
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Score	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?	Yes	$14	9.0¢	Lost
Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?	Yes	$18	12.7¢	Lost
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	$10	7.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs against All authority (BO3) - United21 Group A	NAVI Junior	$1	18.1¢	Won
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?	No	$9	14.9¢	Won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5	Over	$0	9.0¢	Won
Spread: England (-4.5)	Croatia	$2	23.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	No	$6	16.0¢	Lost
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Club Guabirá: Both Teams to Score	No	$3	10.0¢	Won
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?	No	$5	20.1¢	Lost
Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)	Córdoba CF	$0	20.0¢	Lost
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	$3	31.3¢	Lost
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?	No	$7	21.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?	No	$14	6.5¢	Lost
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under	$9	12.0¢	Lost
Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 1.5	Under	$1	26.5¢	Won
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$14	6.8¢	Lost
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-03-14?	No	$10	14.0¢	Won
Spread: Carrarese Calcio (-2.5)	US Catanzaro 1929	$1	21.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group B	Johnny Speeds	$10	51.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group B	Virtus.pro	$10	53.9¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?	Over	$20	3.1¢	Lost
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Baltimore Orioles	$7	30.1¢	Won
Starling Marte: Home Runs O/U 1.5	Under	$2	27.3¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	ENCE	$10	59.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	Just Players	$10	71.0¢	Lost
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-15?	No	$17	3.7¢	Lost
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-03-14?	No	$7	21.0¢	Won
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5	Over	$6	29.0¢	Won
Will Max Greyserman finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?	Yes	$10	1.4¢	Lost
Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC vs. Grenoble Foot 38: O/U 3.5	Under	$20	4.4¢	Lost
Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Under	$2	31.7¢	Won
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?	No	$7	18.0¢	Lost
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)	Sydney FC	$5	12.0¢	Won
Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$13	11.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	$28	4.6¢	Lost
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-05-06?	No	$0	25.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $80–$90 on April 8?	No	$2	12.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Stallions Esports (+1.5)	GIANTX	$0	7.0¢	Won
Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)	CA Rosario Central	$9	12.0¢	Lost

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?Lost
Yes$9 @ 10.0¢
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-07?Lost
No$9 @ 21.0¢
IR Iran leading at halftime?Won
No$7 @ 31.0¢
Will FK Sochi win on 2026-04-17?Lost
No$7 @ 28.0¢
Will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $115 Week of March 30 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 15.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?Lost
Yes$14 @ 9.0¢
Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$18 @ 12.7¢
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Lost
Odd$10 @ 7.7¢
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs against All authority (BO3) - United21 Group AWon
NAVI Junior$1 @ 18.1¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?Won
No$9 @ 14.9¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Won
Over$0 @ 9.0¢
Spread: England (-4.5)Won
Croatia$2 @ 23.8¢
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Lost
No$6 @ 16.0¢
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Club Guabirá: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$3 @ 10.0¢
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?Lost
No$5 @ 20.1¢
Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Lost
Córdoba CF$0 @ 20.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 31.3¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Won
No$7 @ 21.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Lost
No$14 @ 6.5¢
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$9 @ 12.0¢
Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 1.5Won
Under$1 @ 26.5¢
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$14 @ 6.8¢
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-03-14?Won
No$10 @ 14.0¢
Spread: Carrarese Calcio (-2.5)Won
US Catanzaro 1929$1 @ 21.0¢
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group BWon
Johnny Speeds$10 @ 51.0¢
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group BLost
Virtus.pro$10 @ 53.9¢
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Lost
Over$20 @ 3.1¢
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Won
Baltimore Orioles$7 @ 30.1¢
Starling Marte: Home Runs O/U 1.5Won
Under$2 @ 27.3¢
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerWon
ENCE$10 @ 59.0¢
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerLost
Just Players$10 @ 71.0¢
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-15?Lost
No$17 @ 3.7¢
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Won
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-03-14?Won
No$7 @ 21.0¢
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Won
Over$6 @ 29.0¢
Will Max Greyserman finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC vs. Grenoble Foot 38: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$20 @ 4.4¢
Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 0.5Won
Under$2 @ 31.7¢
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?Lost
No$7 @ 18.0¢
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)Won
Sydney FC$5 @ 12.0¢
Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Lost
No$13 @ 11.8¢
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?Lost
No$28 @ 4.6¢
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-05-06?Won
No$0 @ 25.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $80–$90 on April 8?Won
No$2 @ 12.0¢
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Stallions Esports (+1.5)Won
GIANTX$0 @ 7.0¢
Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)Lost
CA Rosario Central$9 @ 12.0¢

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