0xcc7c…1d18

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcc7c1f044ddb2e002345f9f05b4e941e54a11d18
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.0pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

14% @ 16.0¢

Brier

0.076

Resolved

2868

Avg size

$41

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	28% (18/64)	+60%	64
Other	40% (17/43)	-11%	43
Sports	28% (10/36)	-1%	36
Geopolitics	17% (1/6)	-88%	6
Crypto	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tech	100% (2/2)	+31%	2
Business	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+86%	1

Politics64 bets
Hit rate
28% (18/64)
ROI
+60%
Other43 bets
Hit rate
40% (17/43)
ROI
-11%
Sports36 bets
Hit rate
28% (10/36)
ROI
-1%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-88%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+31%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+86%

Track record

31% hit · 49/157

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$20	67.0¢	Won
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	$389	41.8¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	No	$327	80.4¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	$15	74.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$112	56.0¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	$766	87.1¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3.4k	83.5¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$11.6k	17.6¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$347	86.8¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$986	8.7¢	Lost
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$23	0.2¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$60	12.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$84	28.0¢	Won
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$129	7.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Yes	$108	54.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?	Yes	$242	67.0¢	Won
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	$40	6.9¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$26	26.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$212	63.8¢	Lost
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	No	$130	65.0¢	Won
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$748	8.5¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$9.2k	8.6¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$15	3.5¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	$10	4.9¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?	Yes	$8	19.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?	Yes	$115	54.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$9.9k	66.9¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$7.5k	25.0¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$161	34.2¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$278	23.2¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	1.5¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$2.4k	18.8¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$388	0.8¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$102	10.2¢	Lost
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$9	0.2¢	Lost
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$6	0.2¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$41	41.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	TheMongolz	$222	55.5¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?	No	$17	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?	Yes	$42	9.4¢	Lost
Will Andrew Clough be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?	Yes	$5	2.3¢	Lost
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships?	No	$101	54.1¢	Lost
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships?	Yes	$125	40.4¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	$360	60.0¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$89	73.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$540	60.0¢	Won

Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$20 @ 67.0¢
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Lost
Yes$389 @ 41.8¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Won
No$327 @ 80.4¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Won
No$15 @ 74.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Won
No$766 @ 87.1¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$3.4k @ 83.5¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$11.6k @ 17.6¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$347 @ 86.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$986 @ 8.7¢
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$23 @ 0.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$84 @ 28.0¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
Yes$129 @ 7.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Won
Yes$108 @ 54.0¢
Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?Won
Yes$242 @ 67.0¢
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Lost
No$40 @ 6.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$212 @ 63.8¢
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
No$130 @ 65.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$748 @ 8.5¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
Yes$9.2k @ 8.6¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.5¢
Will Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.9¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Lost
Yes$8 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?Lost
Yes$115 @ 54.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$9.9k @ 66.9¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$7.5k @ 25.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Lost
Yes$161 @ 34.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$278 @ 23.2¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 18.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$388 @ 0.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$102 @ 10.2¢
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.2¢
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
TheMongolz$222 @ 55.5¢
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?Won
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?Lost
Yes$42 @ 9.4¢
Will Andrew Clough be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships?Lost
No$101 @ 54.1¢
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships?Won
Yes$125 @ 40.4¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
No$360 @ 60.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$89 @ 73.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$540 @ 60.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4.5k	44.5¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	50.1¢
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Politics	Yes	$547	38.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Politics	Yes	$26	57.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$10	13.0¢
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$6	0.1¢
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$6	0.2¢
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$5	0.3¢
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$5	0.3¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$5	0.4¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$5	0.4¢
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$4	0.2¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.3¢
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1	0.4¢
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$0	5.0¢

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$4.5k @ 44.5¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 50.1¢
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Politics
Yes$547 @ 38.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Politics
Yes$26 @ 57.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?Culture
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢