← Smart money
0xcc3e…37ef
SharpEdge
+3.2pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
45% @ 41.6¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
3415
Avg size
$462
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (342/682) | +13% | 682 |
| Sports | 61% (22/36) | +61% | 36 |
| Politics | 44% (7/16) | +69% | 16 |
| Tech | 50% (2/4) | -27% | 4 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +484% | 1 |
- Other682 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (342/682)
- ROI
- +13%
- Sports36 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (22/36)
- ROI
- +61%
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (7/16)
- ROI
- +69%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -27%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +484%
Track record
51% hit · 374/739- Yes$0 @ 10.0¢
- No$14 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 19.0¢
- No$2 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 79.2¢
- No$52 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$106 @ 70.0¢
- No$50 @ 32.7¢
- Yes$12 @ 61.0¢
- No$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 70.0¢
- No$4 @ 7.3¢
- No$0 @ 0.5¢
- No$59 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 37.9¢
- No$19 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 62.0¢
- No$56 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 79.2¢
- No$56 @ 69.3¢
- No$38 @ 77.4¢
- Yes$128 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 69.0¢
- No$7 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 59.0¢
- No$24 @ 98.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 17.1¢
- No$46 @ 70.0¢
- Rams$451 @ 1.6¢
- Seahawks$8.1k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- No$7.6k @ 75.0¢
- No$98 @ 33.2¢
- Chris Rodesch$1.5k @ 59.2¢
- No$54 @ 77.0¢
- No$242 @ 60.5¢
- 49ers$804 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 4.8¢
- No$419 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 88.3¢
- No$336 @ 27.2¢
- Xavier vs. TexasLostTexas$6 @ 63.0¢
- Xavier$2 @ 37.0¢
- No$9.9k @ 89.0¢
- New York Mets$43 @ 33.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brock Bowers have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Sports | No | $80 | 46.8¢ |
| Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Lions vs Panthers game? | Sports | No | $47 | 94.0¢ |
| Will the announcers say "Wind" or "Windy" during the Lions vs Panthers game? | Sports | Yes | $26 | 37.0¢ |
| Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Lions vs Panthers game? | Sports | No | $14 | 28.0¢ |
| Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Lions vs Panthers game? | Sports | No | $12 | 23.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump visit Montana in 2026? | Politics | No | $11 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026? | Politics | No | $11 | 52.1¢ |
| Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Lions vs Panthers game? | Sports | Yes | $8 | 15.0¢ |
| Will the announcers say "One Handed" during the Lions vs Panthers game? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 8.0¢ |
- No$80 @ 46.8¢
- No$47 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 37.0¢
- No$14 @ 28.0¢
- No$12 @ 23.0¢
- No$11 @ 75.0¢
- No$11 @ 52.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.0¢