0xcc26…32ca

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcc2620f9e3cb4498e8aea556764ec341357932ca
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.9pp

ROI

+105%

Win rate

31% @ 16.8¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

735

Avg size

$175

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	19% (4/21)	+111%	21
Tech	33% (1/3)	+67%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+92%	3
Other	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Politics21 bets
Hit rate
19% (4/21)
ROI
+111%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+67%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+92%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

22% hit · 7/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$33.9k	10.4¢	Lost
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	$154	1.5¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	9.7¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$153	1.4¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$28.0k	36.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7.5k	1.6¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$630	4.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$240	0.5¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	$52	2.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$19.0k	18.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$10.4k	33.6¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$14.1k	73.7¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$6.5k	25.0¢	Won
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	$127	5.0¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$385	7.7¢	Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	$40	0.8¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$220	6.8¢	Lost
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	$695	68.6¢	Lost
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$410	21.2¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$248	0.8¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$130	0.2¢	Lost
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	No	$160	4.0¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	$187	1.8¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	$186	15.5¢	Lost
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	$490	49.0¢	Lost
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?	No	$1.4k	14.8¢	Lost
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$319	31.1¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$615	12.3¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$668	32.5¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	$83	5.8¢	Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$33.9k @ 10.4¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Lost
Yes$154 @ 1.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 9.7¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$153 @ 1.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$28.0k @ 36.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$7.5k @ 1.6¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$630 @ 4.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$240 @ 0.5¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$52 @ 2.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$19.0k @ 18.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$10.4k @ 33.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$14.1k @ 73.7¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$6.5k @ 25.0¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Lost
Yes$127 @ 5.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$385 @ 7.7¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$40 @ 0.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$220 @ 6.8¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$695 @ 68.6¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$410 @ 21.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$248 @ 0.8¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Lost
No$130 @ 0.2¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Lost
No$160 @ 4.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?Lost
Yes$187 @ 1.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$186 @ 15.5¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Lost
No$490 @ 49.0¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Lost
No$1.4k @ 14.8¢
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Lost
No$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$319 @ 31.1¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
No$615 @ 12.3¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$668 @ 32.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Lost
Yes$83 @ 5.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$940	9.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$915	6.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?	Politics	Yes	$213	21.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$176	3.8¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$127	5.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$45	40.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$13	6.7¢

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics
Yes$940 @ 9.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$915 @ 6.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Politics
Yes$213 @ 21.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$176 @ 3.8¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
Yes$127 @ 5.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
No$45 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$13 @ 6.7¢