0xcbc4…6070

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcbc4217ee3e970d79f96d5142f84cd8e72a86070
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.7pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

73% @ 65.9¢

Brier

0.160

Resolved

351

Avg size

$40

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	66% (90/136)	+17%	136
Politics	55% (11/20)	+3%	20
Crypto	42% (5/12)	-31%	12
Tech	100% (6/6)	+45%	6
Culture	60% (3/5)	+7%	5

Sports136 bets
Hit rate
66% (90/136)
ROI
+17%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
55% (11/20)
ROI
+3%
Crypto12 bets
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
ROI
-31%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+45%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+7%

Track record

64% hit · 115/179

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Rams vs. Eagles	Eagles	$15	60.7¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	$55	83.4¢	Won
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	No	$31	61.0¢	Won
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska	Iga Swiatek	$93	22.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	$20	10.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$130	87.3¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	$520	78.5¢	Won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	$5	67.0¢	Won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	$10	61.0¢	Lost
Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	$15	51.8¢	Lost
Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	$51	57.3¢	Won
Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	$40	56.3¢	Won
Samsun: Antonia Ruzic vs Alicia Dudeney	Antonia Ruzic	$10	58.0¢	Lost
Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	$500	85.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$10	57.0¢	Won
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	$31	46.0¢	Won
Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	$10	67.0¢	Won
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Leylah Fernandez	$545	80.9¢	Won
Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	$20	69.0¢	Won
Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?	No	$20	60.0¢	Lost
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Cloud9	$5	43.0¢	Lost
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LYON	$10	76.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	$3	44.0¢	Lost
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	$100	83.9¢	Won
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	$31	18.8¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$10	88.0¢	Won
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$10	29.0¢	Lost
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	$20	81.0¢	Won
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	FURIA Esports	$20	67.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	$50	89.6¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	$20	62.0¢	Won
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	LGD Gaming	$20	55.2¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$220	78.7¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	$230	85.2¢	Lost
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	$10	56.0¢	Won
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	$20	67.0¢	Won
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	$21	34.0¢	Lost
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	$25	84.7¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	$213	51.5¢	Won
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	$10	80.0¢	Won
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	NRG	$10	72.0¢	Won
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	$81	64.4¢	Won
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	$27	57.9¢	Lost
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	No	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	$443	77.2¢	Won
Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	$121	75.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	$1	20.4¢	Lost
Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	$30	75.0¢	Won
Broncos vs. 49ers	Broncos	$5	41.0¢	Lost
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	$21	44.0¢	Lost

Rams vs. EaglesLost
Eagles$15 @ 60.7¢
Rams vs. EaglesWon
Rams$55 @ 83.4¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?Won
No$31 @ 61.0¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja ChwalinskaLost
Iga Swiatek$93 @ 22.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Lost
No$20 @ 10.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
Yes$130 @ 87.3¢
Pelicans vs. JazzWon
Jazz$520 @ 78.5¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysWon
Cleveland Guardians$5 @ 67.0¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLost
Tampa Bay Rays$10 @ 61.0¢
Texans vs. JaguarsLost
Jaguars$15 @ 51.8¢
Texans vs. JaguarsWon
Texans$51 @ 57.3¢
Falcons vs. SaintsWon
Falcons$40 @ 56.3¢
Samsun: Antonia Ruzic vs Alicia DudeneyLost
Antonia Ruzic$10 @ 58.0¢
Bucks vs. 76ersWon
76ers$500 @ 85.0¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?Won
Yes$31 @ 46.0¢
Colts vs. CommandersWon
Colts$10 @ 67.0¢
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra SasnovichWon
Leylah Fernandez$545 @ 80.9¢
Hornets vs. NetsWon
Hornets$20 @ 69.0¢
Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?Lost
No$20 @ 60.0¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLost
Cloud9$5 @ 43.0¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsWon
LYON$10 @ 76.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 44.0¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Won
No$100 @ 83.9¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$31 @ 18.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?Won
Yes$20 @ 81.0¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsWon
FURIA Esports$20 @ 67.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 89.6¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 62.0¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierWon
LGD Gaming$20 @ 55.2¢
Pelicans vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$220 @ 78.7¢
Pelicans vs. NuggetsLost
Pelicans$230 @ 85.2¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerWon
Shopify Rebellion$10 @ 56.0¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?Won
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?Lost
Yes$21 @ 34.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Won
No$25 @ 84.7¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Won
No$213 @ 51.5¢
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InWon
MVK Esports$10 @ 80.0¢
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsWon
NRG$10 @ 72.0¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsWon
100 Thieves$81 @ 64.4¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsLost
G2 Esports$27 @ 57.9¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?Lost
No$10 @ 50.0¢
Patriots vs. BearsWon
Bears$443 @ 77.2¢
Cowboys vs. PackersWon
Packers$121 @ 75.1¢
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?Lost
Yes$1 @ 20.4¢
Broncos vs. 49ersWon
49ers$30 @ 75.0¢
Broncos vs. 49ersLost
Broncos$5 @ 41.0¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?Lost
No$21 @ 44.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$41	71.8¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$30	84.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Tech	No	$30	62.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$30	47.8¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$30	31.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$20	89.3¢
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$20	5.6¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$11	24.0¢
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?	Politics	Yes	$10	50.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$10	82.0¢
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	Tech	Yes	$10	69.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$10	65.0¢
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$10	29.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$10	26.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$10	23.4¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$10	17.4¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$10	15.0¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$5	20.0¢
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	89.0¢
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Tech	No	$5	74.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	63.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$5	42.0¢
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$5	21.6¢
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$5	22.0¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$5	9.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$5	8.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$2	63.0¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.0¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$41 @ 71.8¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
Yes$30 @ 84.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Tech
No$30 @ 62.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$30 @ 47.8¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$30 @ 31.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$20 @ 89.3¢
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$20 @ 5.6¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$11 @ 24.0¢
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Politics
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Tech
Yes$10 @ 69.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$10 @ 65.0¢
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Economy
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$10 @ 23.4¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$10 @ 17.4¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?Tech
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 89.0¢
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Tech
No$5 @ 74.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Economy
Yes$5 @ 21.6¢
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$5 @ 9.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 8.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$2 @ 63.0¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢