0xcb59…e21d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcb59c3db857bae4b9dd41385b152c5d607aee21d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.7pp

ROI

+46%

Win rate

90% @ 71.6¢

Brier

0.126

Resolved

329

Avg size

$183

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	92% (278/303)	+33%	303
Politics	94% (16/17)	+124%	17

Other303 bets
Hit rate
92% (278/303)
ROI
+33%
Politics17 bets
Hit rate
94% (16/17)
ROI
+124%

Track record

92% hit · 294/320

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Vance say "Crazy" during his Rocky Mount visit?	Yes	$168	85.3¢	Won
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?	Yes	$97	71.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Democrat" during College Football Roundtable?	Yes	$34	75.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$639	88.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?	Yes	$8	75.0¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "Prescription Drug" in Wisconsin on Thursday?	Yes	$118	87.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?	Yes	$161	68.9¢	Won
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?	Yes	$82	20.9¢	Lost
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	$46	84.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?	Yes	$221	73.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Uncle" this week?	Yes	$47	78.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)	Yes	$142	67.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?	Yes	$457	87.4¢	Won
Will Bernie Sanders say "Social Security" at the rally on Saturday?	Yes	$195	86.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Biden" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?	Yes	$66	78.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Sex" in June?	Yes	$9	18.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MVP" in April?	Yes	$57	78.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Cash" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	Yes	$26	57.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$3	85.0¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?	Yes	$49	71.6¢	Won
Will Leavitt say "Common Sense" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	$87	66.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	Yes	$79	80.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	$111	88.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?	Yes	$116	82.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "United States Armed Forces" in April?	Yes	$39	88.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	$480	67.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	$4	76.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	Yes	$83	63.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?	Yes	$66	78.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Genius" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	$113	86.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?	Yes	$162	38.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hotel" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	$93	79.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Board of Peace events on February 19?	Yes	$63	35.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week? (April 5)	Yes	$776	57.7¢	Won
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?	Yes	$318	53.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?	Yes	$179	29.5¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang say "Deep Learning" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	$164	69.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Chicago" during executive order signing today?	Yes	$314	87.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Where are you" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?	Yes	$11	76.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "China" during executive order signing today?	Yes	$103	73.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?	Yes	$463	72.7¢	Won
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	Yes	$814	61.9¢	Won
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?	Yes	$29	37.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Beef" during National Agriculture Day events?	Yes	$108	77.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hang" or "Hanging" this week? (March 15)	Yes	$99	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Radical Left" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$17	83.0¢	Won
Will Warsh say "Open-Minded" during June Press Conference?	Yes	$10	82.6¢	Won
Will Trump name "Warren" or "Pocahontas" in April?	Yes	$65	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Water" this week? (February 22)	Yes	$93	86.4¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "Nuclear" during meetings with Orbán?	Yes	$12	79.0¢	Won

Will Vance say "Crazy" during his Rocky Mount visit?Won
Yes$168 @ 85.3¢
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?Won
Yes$97 @ 71.9¢
Will Trump say "Democrat" during College Football Roundtable?Won
Yes$34 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Won
Yes$639 @ 88.7¢
Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?Won
Yes$8 @ 75.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Prescription Drug" in Wisconsin on Thursday?Won
Yes$118 @ 87.7¢
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?Won
Yes$161 @ 68.9¢
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?Lost
Yes$82 @ 20.9¢
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Won
Yes$46 @ 84.9¢
Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?Won
Yes$221 @ 73.2¢
Will Trump say "Uncle" this week?Won
Yes$47 @ 78.3¢
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)Lost
Yes$142 @ 67.1¢
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?Won
Yes$457 @ 87.4¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Social Security" at the rally on Saturday?Won
Yes$195 @ 86.8¢
Will Trump say "Biden" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Lost
Yes$66 @ 78.7¢
Will Trump say "Sex" in June?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.5¢
Will Trump say "MVP" in April?Won
Yes$57 @ 78.6¢
Will Trump say "Cash" during Healthcare Affordability Events?Won
Yes$26 @ 57.1¢
Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
Yes$3 @ 85.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?Won
Yes$49 @ 71.6¢
Will Leavitt say "Common Sense" during the next White House Press Briefing?Won
Yes$87 @ 66.8¢
Will Trump say "Chair" this week?Won
Yes$79 @ 80.7¢
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17?Won
Yes$111 @ 88.8¢
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?Won
Yes$116 @ 82.1¢
Will Trump say "United States Armed Forces" in April?Won
Yes$39 @ 88.5¢
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?Won
Yes$480 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?Won
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?Won
Yes$83 @ 63.1¢
Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?Won
Yes$66 @ 78.5¢
Will Trump say "Genius" this week? (April 20 - 26)Won
Yes$113 @ 86.3¢
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?Won
Yes$162 @ 38.4¢
Will Trump say "Hotel" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?Won
Yes$93 @ 79.6¢
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Board of Peace events on February 19?Won
Yes$63 @ 35.3¢
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week? (April 5)Won
Yes$776 @ 57.7¢
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?Won
Yes$318 @ 53.9¢
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?Won
Yes$179 @ 29.5¢
Will Jensen Huang say "Deep Learning" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Won
Yes$164 @ 69.8¢
Will Trump say "Chicago" during executive order signing today?Won
Yes$314 @ 87.1¢
Will Trump say "Where are you" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Won
Yes$11 @ 76.1¢
Will Trump say "China" during executive order signing today?Won
Yes$103 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Won
Yes$463 @ 72.7¢
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?Won
Yes$814 @ 61.9¢
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?Won
Yes$29 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump say "Beef" during National Agriculture Day events?Won
Yes$108 @ 77.1¢
Will Trump say "Hang" or "Hanging" this week? (March 15)Won
Yes$99 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump say "Radical Left" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
Yes$17 @ 83.0¢
Will Warsh say "Open-Minded" during June Press Conference?Won
Yes$10 @ 82.6¢
Will Trump name "Warren" or "Pocahontas" in April?Won
Yes$65 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Water" this week? (February 22)Won
Yes$93 @ 86.4¢
Will JD Vance say "Nuclear" during meetings with Orbán?Won
Yes$12 @ 79.0¢

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