0xcb2b…1921

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcb2bd8562d0942f52f364bbd4a7d1f28dda51921
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.7pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

49% @ 43.0¢

Brier

0.266

Resolved

919

Avg size

$257

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (64/128)	+13%	128
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other128 bets
Hit rate
50% (64/128)
ROI
+13%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Track record

49% hit · 65/133

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?	No	$50	16.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$170	18.9¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$6.4k	48.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?	Yes	$21	79.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	Yes	$3.3k	72.3¢	Won
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	$430	34.6¢	Won
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?	Yes	$511	55.0¢	Lost
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$399	64.5¢	Won
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?	Yes	$50	18.5¢	Lost
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	$644	83.0¢	Won
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$1.1k	56.5¢	Lost
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$6.9k	28.4¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	Yes	$1.9k	46.6¢	Lost
Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?	Yes	$3.2k	67.7¢	Won
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	$6.7k	33.0¢	Won
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?	Yes	$80	54.0¢	Won
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$971	22.1¢	Lost
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	No	$2.0k	29.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?	Yes	$328	66.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	$227	43.9¢	Won
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$1.3k	45.5¢	Won
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$265	46.0¢	Lost
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$3.7k	42.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?	Yes	$2.5k	86.4¢	Won
Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	$150	89.0¢	Won
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	$184	63.0¢	Won
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?	Yes	$136	68.0¢	Won
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$437	44.4¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	No	$709	33.8¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$4.5k	80.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?	Yes	$43	23.0¢	Lost
Solana above $160 on August 9?	Yes	$232	43.8¢	Lost
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?	No	$2.3k	79.8¢	Won
Solana above $170 on November 8?	No	$337	59.3¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $230 in November?	Yes	$47	57.0¢	Won
Bitcoin new all time high before election?	Yes	$4	6.0¢	Lost
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	$2.6k	85.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?	Yes	$453	32.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$10.4k	83.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?	Yes	$1.7k	85.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?	Yes	$4	68.0¢	Lost
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$2.2k	30.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?	Yes	$1.3k	51.2¢	Won
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?	No	$262	26.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	Yes	$1.3k	86.0¢	Lost
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$2.0k	46.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$100	37.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Vici Gaming	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	$5.7k	48.7¢	Lost

Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?Lost
No$50 @ 16.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$170 @ 18.9¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$6.4k @ 48.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Won
Yes$21 @ 79.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 72.3¢
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Won
Yes$430 @ 34.6¢
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?Lost
Yes$511 @ 55.0¢
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?Won
No$399 @ 64.5¢
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?Lost
Yes$50 @ 18.5¢
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Won
No$644 @ 83.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
No$1.1k @ 56.5¢
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 28.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 46.6¢
Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Won
Yes$3.2k @ 67.7¢
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?Won
No$6.7k @ 33.0¢
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?Won
Yes$80 @ 54.0¢
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
No$971 @ 22.1¢
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?Lost
No$2.0k @ 29.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?Lost
Yes$328 @ 66.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Won
Yes$227 @ 43.9¢
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$1.3k @ 45.5¢
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$265 @ 46.0¢
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$3.7k @ 42.9¢
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 86.4¢
Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?Won
No$150 @ 89.0¢
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?Won
Yes$184 @ 63.0¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?Won
Yes$136 @ 68.0¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Won
No$437 @ 44.4¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Lost
No$709 @ 33.8¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 80.0¢
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?Lost
Yes$43 @ 23.0¢
Solana above $160 on August 9?Lost
Yes$232 @ 43.8¢
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?Won
No$2.3k @ 79.8¢
Solana above $170 on November 8?Lost
No$337 @ 59.3¢
Will Solana reach $230 in November?Won
Yes$47 @ 57.0¢
Bitcoin new all time high before election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 85.0¢
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Lost
Yes$453 @ 32.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
No$10.4k @ 83.0¢
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 85.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 68.0¢
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
No$2.2k @ 30.6¢
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 51.2¢
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?Won
No$262 @ 26.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 86.0¢
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
No$2.0k @ 46.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?Lost
Yes$100 @ 37.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Vici Gaming$7 @ 7.0¢
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?Lost
No$5.7k @ 48.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$2.0k	70.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$602	77.5¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	No	$590	37.4¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	No	$590	47.2¢
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$427	65.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$26	56.3¢
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$9	47.0¢

Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto
No$2.0k @ 70.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$602 @ 77.5¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto
No$590 @ 37.4¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto
No$590 @ 47.2¢
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$427 @ 65.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$26 @ 56.3¢
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?Crypto
No$9 @ 47.0¢