0xcb23…8189

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcb239d37d4e32efe494c1701f3d8a50b72078189
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.3pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

61% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.054

Resolved

172

Avg size

$11

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (20/35)	+25%	35
Politics	36% (10/28)	+14%	28
Sports	54% (13/24)	+26%	24
Culture	100% (3/3)	+63%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-24%	2

Other35 bets
Hit rate
57% (20/35)
ROI
+25%
Politics28 bets
Hit rate
36% (10/28)
ROI
+14%
Sports24 bets
Hit rate
54% (13/24)
ROI
+26%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+63%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-24%

Track record

51% hit · 47/92

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will another outcome occur in the NY-07 Democratic Primary?	Yes	$0	2.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?	Yes	$3	32.0¢	Won
Will Carlos Fiorello Gordish be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	$17	85.0¢	Won
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?	No	$7	87.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	70.0¢	Won
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	$51	86.7¢	Won
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?	No	$59	85.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?	Yes	$2	2.3¢	Lost
Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?	No	$16	77.0¢	Won
Will David Bourgoin be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?	Yes	$0	8.0¢	Lost
Will the match not air?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?	No	$6	68.0¢	Won
Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?	Yes	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	$24	59.0¢	Won
Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?	Yes	$1	3.4¢	Lost
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	$173	81.5¢	Won
Will Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	No	$35	88.0¢	Won
The Masters 2026: Playoff?	No	$11	53.0¢	Won
Barstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?	No	$22	89.8¢	Won
Will David Ballantine win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the San Diego Padres have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Steven King be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will Kiambo White be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?	No	$4	88.0¢	Won
Will the match not air?	No	$11	54.0¢	Won
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$209	82.0¢	Won
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	$68	85.0¢	Won
Will the Houston Astros have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	$31	78.0¢	Won
Will the Kansas City Royals have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ruwa Romman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	$0	15.0¢	Won
Will the Texas Rangers have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$14	71.8¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	$197	84.4¢	Won
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?	No	$17	81.7¢	Won
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?	Yes	$9	7.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Mets have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	$30	74.0¢	Won
Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?	Yes	$17	68.0¢	Won
Will Michael McCord be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?	Yes	$59	83.8¢	Won
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?	No	$3	68.0¢	Won
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?	Yes	$0	6.0¢	Lost

Will another outcome occur in the NY-07 Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.8¢
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?Won
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
Will Carlos Fiorello Gordish be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Lindsey Horvath finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$17 @ 85.0¢
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$2 @ 70.0¢
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Won
No$51 @ 86.7¢
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?Won
No$59 @ 85.0¢
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.3¢
Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?Won
No$16 @ 77.0¢
Will David Bourgoin be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?Lost
Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
Will the match not air?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?Won
No$6 @ 68.0¢
Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?Won
Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
No$24 @ 59.0¢
Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.4¢
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?Won
Yes$173 @ 81.5¢
Will Craig Nash win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Won
No$35 @ 88.0¢
The Masters 2026: Playoff?Won
No$11 @ 53.0¢
Barstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?Won
No$22 @ 89.8¢
Will David Ballantine win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the San Diego Padres have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Steven King be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will Kiambo White be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will the match not air?Won
No$11 @ 54.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$209 @ 82.0¢
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
No$68 @ 85.0¢
Will the Houston Astros have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
No$31 @ 78.0¢
Will the Kansas City Royals have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Ruwa Romman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5Won
Over 5.5$0 @ 15.0¢
Will the Texas Rangers have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$14 @ 71.8¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Won
No$197 @ 84.4¢
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?Won
No$17 @ 81.7¢
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?Lost
Yes$9 @ 7.0¢
Will the New York Mets have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
No$30 @ 74.0¢
Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?Won
Yes$17 @ 68.0¢
Will Michael McCord be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?Won
Yes$59 @ 83.8¢
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?Won
No$3 @ 68.0¢
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Lost
No$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 6.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…