← Smart money
0xcb23…8189
SharpEdge
+10.3pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
65% @ 54.5¢
Brier
0.076
Resolved
488
Avg size
$19
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (96/167) | +5% | 167 |
| Politics | 75% (82/110) | +18% | 110 |
| Sports | 84% (61/73) | +14% | 73 |
| Culture | 100% (3/3) | +63% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -24% | 2 |
- Other167 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (96/167)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics110 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (82/110)
- ROI
- +18%
- Sports73 bets
- Hit rate
- 84% (61/73)
- ROI
- +14%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +63%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -24%
Track record
68% hit · 243/355- Yes$91 @ 73.5¢
- No$30 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 66.5¢
- No$20 @ 94.0¢
- No$35 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 91.1¢
- No$90 @ 89.0¢
- No$37 @ 91.0¢
- No$127 @ 90.0¢
- No$20 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
- No$8 @ 87.0¢
- No$493 @ 88.3¢
- No$113 @ 97.0¢
- No$179 @ 93.2¢
- Yes$42 @ 92.3¢
- No$698 @ 78.3¢
- No$23 @ 98.3¢
- Yes$146 @ 96.9¢
- No$14 @ 92.5¢
- Yes$88 @ 81.0¢
- No$166 @ 74.3¢
- No$261 @ 90.0¢
- No$20 @ 97.6¢
- No$89 @ 97.1¢
- No$11 @ 88.8¢
- No$60 @ 98.3¢
- No$106 @ 74.5¢
- No$35 @ 88.2¢
- No$56 @ 95.8¢
- No$33 @ 74.4¢
- No$38 @ 95.0¢
- No$30 @ 80.7¢
- No$80 @ 92.8¢
- No$18 @ 92.0¢
- No$18 @ 92.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.0¢
- No$6 @ 93.0¢
- No$17 @ 93.0¢
- No$60 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
- No$13 @ 87.6¢
- No$21 @ 93.0¢
- No$33 @ 83.0¢
- Will James Yaroshuk win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?WonNo$37 @ 92.0¢
- Will Timothy Webster win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?WonNo$76 @ 94.6¢
- No$56 @ 91.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$982 @ 99.2¢
- No$454 @ 99.9¢
- Will James Chumsa win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNo$358 @ 96.0¢
- No$348 @ 98.1¢
- Yes$287 @ 91.2¢
- Will Justin Douglas win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNo$235 @ 97.0¢
- Alcatraz reopened in 2026?PoliticsNo$209 @ 88.4¢
- Is Earth flat?CultureNo$206 @ 99.3¢
- No$176 @ 91.9¢
- No$173 @ 99.0¢
- No$140 @ 98.1¢
- No$125 @ 90.0¢
- No$118 @ 98.3¢
- No$110 @ 98.8¢
- No$109 @ 97.6¢
- No$67 @ 78.0¢
- No$66 @ 98.5¢
- No$65 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$63 @ 85.0¢
- No$54 @ 99.9¢
- No$53 @ 94.6¢
- No$46 @ 92.0¢
- No$42 @ 83.8¢
- No$40 @ 87.7¢
- No$37 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 78.8¢
- No$30 @ 87.7¢
- Yes$29 @ 72.0¢
- No$28 @ 90.4¢
- No$26 @ 92.0¢