0xcae9…c13b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcae9af9dcca889627577441ae988cbe3ccfcc13b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+37.1pp

ROI

+50%

Win rate

67% @ 29.5¢

Brier

0.323

Resolved

126

Avg size

$73

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (15/30)	+51%	30
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+23%	2
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other30 bets
Hit rate
50% (15/30)
ROI
+51%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+23%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 17/33

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	No	$778	4.4¢	Lost
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$2.4k	46.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	Yes	$203	26.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?	No	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$245	40.0¢	Lost
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$97	81.3¢	Won
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	$60	0.1¢	Lost
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$660	82.9¢	Won
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	$205	72.0¢	Won
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	$4	10.0¢	Lost
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	$386	82.0¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$8	71.0¢	Lost
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$303	77.6¢	Won
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?	Yes	$3	70.0¢	Won
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	$10	6.0¢	Lost
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan	China	$32	10.7¢	Lost
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$20	85.9¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$61	86.0¢	Won
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?	Yes	$111	7.6¢	Won
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	$31	24.0¢	Lost
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$512	38.5¢	Won
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	$250	33.8¢	Won
Over $500K committed to the Sol Raffle public sale?	Yes	$222	48.6¢	Lost
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	$309	80.0¢	Won
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	$532	29.0¢	Lost
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$203	27.0¢	Lost
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	$870	87.0¢	Won
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$128	80.0¢	Won
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	$374	26.6¢	Won
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$67	77.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	$5	0.6¢	Lost

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Lost
No$778 @ 4.4¢
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 46.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Lost
Yes$203 @ 26.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?Lost
No$4 @ 4.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$245 @ 40.0¢
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
No$97 @ 81.3¢
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
Yes$60 @ 0.1¢
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$660 @ 82.9¢
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?Won
Yes$205 @ 72.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?Won
Yes$386 @ 82.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$8 @ 71.0¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Won
No$303 @ 77.6¢
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?Won
Yes$3 @ 70.0¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Lost
No$10 @ 6.0¢
AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanLost
China$32 @ 10.7¢
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
No$20 @ 85.9¢
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$61 @ 86.0¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Won
Yes$111 @ 7.6¢
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Lost
No$31 @ 24.0¢
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
No$512 @ 38.5¢
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Won
Yes$250 @ 33.8¢
Over $500K committed to the Sol Raffle public sale?Lost
Yes$222 @ 48.6¢
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?Won
Yes$309 @ 80.0¢
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$532 @ 29.0¢
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
No$110 @ 11.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$203 @ 27.0¢
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Won
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
No$128 @ 80.0¢
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Won
Yes$374 @ 26.6¢
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$67 @ 77.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	—	No	$777	4.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	—	Yes	$193	26.2¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Politics	No	$10	6.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	—	No	$8	71.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?	—	Yes	$5	0.6¢
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	—	Yes	$4	10.0¢

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?—
No$777 @ 4.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?—
Yes$193 @ 26.2¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Politics
No$10 @ 6.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?—
No$8 @ 71.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?—
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?—
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢