0xca84…6f8d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xca8432ac8200fb981ea89da18659e3184faf6f8d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+9.1pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

55% @ 45.6¢

Brier

0.221

Resolved

2028

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	56% (343/612)	+12%	612
Other	46% (43/93)	+9%	93
Sports	38% (27/72)	+95%	72
Politics	42% (10/24)	-48%	24
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+23%	2

Science612 bets
Hit rate
56% (343/612)
ROI
+12%
Other93 bets
Hit rate
46% (43/93)
ROI
+9%
Sports72 bets
Hit rate
38% (27/72)
ROI
+95%
Politics24 bets
Hit rate
42% (10/24)
ROI
-48%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+23%

Track record

53% hit · 425/803

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	No	$13	65.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	$5	30.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 5?	No	$4	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?	No	$3	52.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	44.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5?	No	$8	81.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5?	No	$3	63.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?	No	$4	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 5?	No	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	30.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	$14	27.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 5?	No	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	No	$3	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	$4	29.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	No	$4	72.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	$6	38.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?	No	$7	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5?	No	$4	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	$7	69.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	$7	31.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 5?	No	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 5?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	No	$37	58.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5?	No	$4	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	$4	76.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5?	No	$7	65.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 5?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	No	$10	63.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 5?	No	$3	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 5?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5?	No	$3	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	35.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	$4	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	No	$7	69.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	$16	16.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5?	No	$8	77.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?	Yes	$11	20.3¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$125	35.3¢	Won
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$30	70.5¢	Lost
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	31.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?	Yes	$5	68.9¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$86	61.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$2	39.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$15	59.2¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?Lost
No$13 @ 65.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?Won
Yes$5 @ 30.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 5?Won
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?Lost
No$3 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?Won
Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5?Won
No$8 @ 81.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5?Lost
No$3 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?Won
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 5?Lost
No$2 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5?Won
Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?Won
Yes$14 @ 27.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 5?Won
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?Won
No$3 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 29.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?Lost
No$4 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?Won
Yes$6 @ 38.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?Won
No$7 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5?Won
No$4 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$7 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$7 @ 31.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 5?Won
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?Lost
No$37 @ 58.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5?Won
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5?Won
No$7 @ 65.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?Won
No$10 @ 63.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 5?Won
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?Won
Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 5?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5?Won
No$3 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 5?Won
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?Won
No$7 @ 69.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$16 @ 16.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5?Won
No$8 @ 77.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?Won
Yes$11 @ 20.3¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$125 @ 35.3¢
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$30 @ 70.5¢
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$5 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?Won
Yes$5 @ 68.9¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$86 @ 61.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$2 @ 39.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$15 @ 59.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	Science	No	$37	58.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5?	Science	No	$31	65.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 6?	Science	Yes	$28	36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6?	Science	No	$26	69.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5?	Science	No	$20	78.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 4?	Science	No	$19	28.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?	Science	No	$18	68.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Science	No	$18	67.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5?	Science	No	$16	60.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 6?	Science	No	$16	60.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$16	16.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	Science	Yes	$15	57.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 5?	Science	No	$15	71.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$14	19.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$14	27.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5?	Science	No	$14	41.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Science	No	$13	65.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5?	Science	No	$13	84.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5?	Science	No	$12	58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$12	31.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$12	46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Science	No	$12	76.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Science	No	$12	56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?	Science	No	$11	53.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$11	42.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 6?	Science	Yes	$10	26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 6?	Science	No	$10	61.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 5?	Science	Yes	$10	47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$10	35.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	Science	No	$10	63.1¢

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?Science
No$37 @ 58.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5?Science
No$31 @ 65.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 6?Science
Yes$28 @ 36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6?Science
No$26 @ 69.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5?Science
No$20 @ 78.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 4?Science
No$19 @ 28.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?Science
No$18 @ 68.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?Science
No$18 @ 67.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5?Science
No$16 @ 60.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 6?Science
No$16 @ 60.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?Science
Yes$16 @ 16.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?Science
Yes$15 @ 57.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 5?Science
No$15 @ 71.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?Science
Yes$14 @ 19.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?Science
Yes$14 @ 27.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5?Science
No$14 @ 41.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?Science
No$13 @ 65.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5?Science
No$13 @ 84.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5?Science
No$12 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?Science
Yes$12 @ 31.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5?Science
Yes$12 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?Science
No$12 @ 76.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?Science
No$12 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?Science
No$11 @ 53.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 5?Science
Yes$11 @ 42.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 6?Science
Yes$10 @ 26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 6?Science
No$10 @ 61.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 5?Science
Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 5?Science
Yes$10 @ 35.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?Science
No$10 @ 63.1¢