0xca3b…3534

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xca3b1eedd50f898fec204df76e8e8fdd55253534
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+12.5pp

ROI

+75%

Win rate

50% @ 37.5¢

Brier

0.230

Resolved

Avg size

$33

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (32/65)	+75%	65
Sports	50% (6/12)	+79%	12
Politics	100% (1/1)	+54%	1

Other65 bets
Hit rate
49% (32/65)
ROI
+75%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+79%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+54%

Track record

50% hit · 39/78

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$25	61.0¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$25	79.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?	Yes	$300	36.0¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	$25	42.0¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-22?	Yes	$33	86.0¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?	Yes	$170	66.8¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$19	53.0¢	Won
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-03-14?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$225	53.1¢	Won
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$30	56.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?	Yes	$20	46.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$4	82.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$10	34.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?	Yes	$5	14.9¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$49	63.1¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?	Yes	$20	46.0¢	Lost
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$25	11.0¢	Lost
Will FC København win on 2026-01-28?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$26	36.0¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?	Yes	$26	5.5¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	$25	29.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$10	70.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	10.7¢	Lost
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$25	30.0¢	Won
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?	Yes	$20	45.0¢	Won
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$3	6.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$20	37.6¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?	Yes	$20	63.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$100	57.0¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	$5	22.0¢	Won
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	$5	24.9¢	Lost
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?	Yes	$100	11.5¢	Won
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Won
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	$6	8.0¢	Lost
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-26?	Yes	$100	86.0¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?	Yes	$42	80.6¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	59.2¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$20	1.8¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$10	32.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$26	49.0¢	Won
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?	Yes	$19	41.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?	Yes	$150	42.9¢	Won
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?	Yes	$20	56.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?	Yes	$30	65.0¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	$5	64.0¢	Lost
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$51	59.0¢	Won
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	$10	11.2¢	Lost

Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?Won
Yes$25 @ 61.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-02?Won
Yes$25 @ 79.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?Won
Yes$300 @ 36.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-22?Lost
Yes$25 @ 42.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-22?Won
Yes$33 @ 86.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?Won
Yes$170 @ 66.8¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Won
Yes$19 @ 53.0¢
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-03-14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$225 @ 53.1¢
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$30 @ 56.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?Won
Yes$20 @ 46.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?Won
Yes$5 @ 14.9¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?Lost
Yes$49 @ 63.1¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?Lost
Yes$20 @ 46.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08?Lost
Yes$25 @ 11.0¢
Will FC København win on 2026-01-28?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$26 @ 36.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?Lost
Yes$26 @ 5.5¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?Lost
Yes$25 @ 29.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.7¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?Won
Yes$25 @ 30.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?Won
Yes$20 @ 45.0¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$20 @ 37.6¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?Won
Yes$20 @ 63.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?Lost
Yes$100 @ 57.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?Won
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 24.9¢
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?Won
Yes$100 @ 11.5¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-21?Lost
Yes$6 @ 8.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-26?Won
Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?Won
Yes$42 @ 80.6¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$15 @ 59.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.8¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?Won
Yes$26 @ 49.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?Won
Yes$19 @ 41.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?Won
Yes$150 @ 42.9¢
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?Lost
Yes$20 @ 56.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?Lost
Yes$30 @ 65.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 64.0¢
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-02?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
No$51 @ 59.0¢
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-07?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$50	90.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$45	39.2¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	Sports	Yes	$38	31.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$25	73.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$25	61.0¢
Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Sports	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$10	67.0¢
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$10	0.7¢

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$50 @ 90.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$45 @ 39.2¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?Sports
Yes$38 @ 31.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$25 @ 73.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$25 @ 61.0¢
Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028?Sports
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$10 @ 67.0¢
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$10 @ 0.7¢