← Smart money
0xca30…a0b2
ProfitableEdge
+34.4pp
ROI
+393%
Win rate
66% @ 31.7¢
Brier
0.441
Resolved
62
Avg size
$34
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (10/22) | -42% | 22 |
| Sports | 20% (2/10) | +13% | 10 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | +527% | 4 |
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (10/22)
- ROI
- -42%
- Sports10 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (2/10)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +527%
Track record
39% hit · 14/36- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?LostNo$2 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$21 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
- New York Yankees$21 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
- No$5 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 42.0¢
- England$39 @ 53.7¢
- Yes$199 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 15.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$24 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $1.2k | 8.4¢ |
- Yes$1.2k @ 8.4¢