0xc975…2c68

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc9751b5f25e1ecd88ec4630d19422b58d0562c68
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.0pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

31% @ 24.7¢

Brier

0.105

Resolved

1498

Avg size

$27

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (144/436)	+41%	436
Politics	46% (11/24)	+44%	24
Sports	15% (2/13)	+18%	13
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+86%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-33%	2
Culture	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other436 bets
Hit rate
33% (144/436)
ROI
+41%
Politics24 bets
Hit rate
46% (11/24)
ROI
+44%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
15% (2/13)
ROI
+18%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+86%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-33%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 160/480

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	$66	99.9¢	Won
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E36?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs	paiN	$50	50.0¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	3.4¢	Lost
Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?	No	$17	86.2¢	Won
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	$224	70.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	No	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	MOUZ	$57	57.0¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	$60	60.0¢	Won
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	$12	1.2¢	Lost
Will "Fiduciary" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	Yes	$207	46.0¢	Lost
Will "Texas" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	$4	3.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: KRÜ Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3)	largadosypelados	$23	45.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Two minute warning" 4+ times during Eagles vs Giants game? (October 9)	Yes	$69	1.1¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?	No	$517	35.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$32	77.0¢	Won
Will "Gavin" or "Newsom" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 15, 11AM ET?	No	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Never Forget" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.2k	79.0¢	Won
Will Bank of America say "Gross margin" during earnings call?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Drone war" in October?	No	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3)	Natus Vincere	$550	76.8¢	Won
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?	No	$3	9.0¢	Lost
Will "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?	Yes	$4	0.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Will "Mickey Mouse" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$16	5.4¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?	Yes	$384	48.1¢	Won
Will anyone say "Fed" during South Park's prediction market episode?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?	No	$44	30.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?	Yes	$222	79.4¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$27	13.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Scam" during Tele-Rally?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?	No	$7	75.0¢	Won
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 18 2025?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 24, 2026?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Best friend" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Won
Yes$66 @ 99.9¢
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E36?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House PlayoffsLost
paiN$50 @ 50.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.4¢
Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?Won
No$17 @ 86.2¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
Yes$224 @ 70.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?Lost
No$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Lost
MOUZ$57 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?Won
Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Lost
No$12 @ 1.2¢
Will "Fiduciary" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?Lost
Yes$207 @ 46.0¢
Will "Texas" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
Counter-Strike: KRÜ Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3)Won
largadosypelados$23 @ 45.0¢
Will the announcers say "Two minute warning" 4+ times during Eagles vs Giants game? (October 9)Lost
Yes$69 @ 1.1¢
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?Lost
No$517 @ 35.6¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
No$32 @ 77.0¢
Will "Gavin" or "Newsom" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 15, 11AM ET?Lost
No$3 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Never Forget" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.2k @ 79.0¢
Will Bank of America say "Gross margin" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Drone war" in October?Lost
No$4 @ 4.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Won
Natus Vincere$550 @ 76.8¢
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?Lost
No$3 @ 9.0¢
Will "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will "Mickey Mouse" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$16 @ 5.4¢
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?Won
Yes$384 @ 48.1¢
Will anyone say "Fed" during South Park's prediction market episode?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?Lost
No$44 @ 30.5¢
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?Won
Yes$222 @ 79.4¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$27 @ 13.5¢
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Scam" during Tele-Rally?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Won
No$7 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 18 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 24, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will "Best friend" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$3.0k	94.4¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$1.8k	89.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1.5k	78.9¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$999	82.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$843	84.3¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	Politics	Yes	$161	69.2¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?	Politics	Yes	$19	53.2¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$3.0k @ 94.4¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$1.5k @ 78.9¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$999 @ 82.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$843 @ 84.3¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Politics
Yes$161 @ 69.2¢
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Politics
Yes$19 @ 53.2¢