0xc94a…98e4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc94a24f000b149a126dbe30b4f6ca3f8245498e4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.2pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

59% @ 49.5¢

Brier

0.207

Resolved

252

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (66/131)	+26%	131
Sports	67% (4/6)	+3%	6
Politics	83% (5/6)	+11%	6
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+25%	1

Other131 bets
Hit rate
50% (66/131)
ROI
+26%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+3%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+25%

Track record

53% hit · 76/144

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	$7	11.0¢	Lost
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	38.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$10	56.5¢	Won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5	Over	$35	47.0¢	Won
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	$5	30.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$5	58.0¢	Lost
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)	Wuhan San Zhen FC	$10	74.0¢	Won
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 3.5	Under	$2	78.0¢	Won
Villarreal CF leading at halftime?	No	$5	72.0¢	Won
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Han Shi	Han Shi	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	$5	43.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$10	42.0¢	Won
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	$5	50.0¢	Won
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	$3	87.0¢	Lost
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5	Over	$0	14.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5	Over	$10	46.0¢	Won
Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)	Yokohama F·Marinos	$1	9.0¢	Lost
FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Krasnodar: O/U 3.5	Over	$5	38.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$3	89.9¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	$5	61.0¢	Lost
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins	Samsung Lions	$5	48.0¢	Won
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-02?	No	$5	62.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Marcus McGhee	$5	77.0¢	Won
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	$25	39.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$5	45.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	$5	67.0¢	Won
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)	Los Angeles FC	$20	58.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner	Fisher College	$5	35.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$10	33.0¢	Lost
1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	70.0¢	Won
Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)	Kilmarnock FC	$5	34.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 Winner	Heroic	$5	53.0¢	Lost
Istanbul: Guiomar Maristany vs Anouk Koevermans	Anouk Koevermans	$1	43.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$3	89.9¢	Won
Girona FC leading at halftime?	No	$5	65.0¢	Won
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Mets	$5	53.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	$10	13.0¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	30.0¢	Lost
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	West Ham United FC	$5	64.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$5	54.0¢	Won
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	$5	89.7¢	Won
76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	$10	33.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$10	80.0¢	Won
Paris: Sara Bejlek vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	$5	42.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	$5	70.0¢	Lost
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	$5	66.0¢	Won
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	$10	53.0¢	Won
Red Star FC vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 4.5	Under	$20	87.0¢	Lost
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Lost

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab KingsLost
Punjab Kings$7 @ 11.0¢
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$5 @ 38.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$10 @ 56.5¢
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Won
Over$35 @ 47.0¢
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-13?Lost
No$5 @ 30.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Won
Wuhan San Zhen FC$10 @ 74.0¢
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 3.5Won
Under$2 @ 78.0¢
Villarreal CF leading at halftime?Won
No$5 @ 72.0¢
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Han ShiLost
Han Shi$1 @ 7.0¢
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna BlinkovaWon
Anna Blinkova$5 @ 43.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-05?Lost
No$1 @ 8.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerWon
MOUZ$5 @ 50.0¢
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola BartunkovaLost
Nikola Bartunkova$3 @ 87.0¢
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$0 @ 14.0¢
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Won
Over$10 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Lost
Yokohama F·Marinos$1 @ 9.0¢
FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Krasnodar: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$5 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$3 @ 89.9¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Lost
No$5 @ 61.0¢
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG TwinsWon
Samsung Lions$5 @ 48.0¢
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-02?Won
No$5 @ 62.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)Won
Marcus McGhee$5 @ 77.0¢
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego PadresWon
Chicago White Sox$25 @ 39.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$5 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerWon
Team Falcons$5 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Lost
Los Angeles FC$20 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 WinnerLost
Fisher College$5 @ 35.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?Lost
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava: O/U 3.5Won
Under$5 @ 70.0¢
Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)Won
Kilmarnock FC$5 @ 34.0¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 WinnerLost
Heroic$5 @ 53.0¢
Istanbul: Guiomar Maristany vs Anouk KoevermansLost
Anouk Koevermans$1 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$3 @ 89.9¢
Girona FC leading at halftime?Won
No$5 @ 65.0¢
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles AngelsLost
New York Mets$5 @ 53.0¢
Timberwolves vs. SpursWon
Timberwolves$10 @ 13.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$5 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Won
West Ham United FC$5 @ 64.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Won
Yes$5 @ 54.0¢
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 89.7¢
76ers vs. CelticsWon
76ers$10 @ 33.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$10 @ 80.0¢
Paris: Sara Bejlek vs Alina CharaevaWon
Alina Charaeva$5 @ 42.0¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Lost
Aurora Gaming$5 @ 70.0¢
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Won
Milwaukee Brewers$5 @ 66.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay RaysWon
Tampa Bay Rays$10 @ 53.0¢
Red Star FC vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$20 @ 87.0¢
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03?Lost
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$16	90.9¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	—	Yes	$15	72.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	No	$13	95.2¢
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	—	Yes	$10	77.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$10	96.9¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	96.0¢
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	No	$9	93.0¢
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?	—	Yes	$9	91.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$8	93.6¢
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?	Politics	No	$6	88.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$6	96.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Politics	No	$6	93.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$6	68.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$6	88.5¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	No	$5	35.0¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Sports	Yes	$5	78.0¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?	Politics	No	$5	94.9¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Politics	Yes	$4	84.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$3	87.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	No	$3	97.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$3	83.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Other	No	$3	96.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 90.9¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?—
Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics
No$13 @ 95.2¢
Will France win on 2026-06-30?—
Yes$10 @ 77.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 96.9¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 96.0¢
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
No$9 @ 93.0¢
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?—
Yes$9 @ 91.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
No$8 @ 93.6¢
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics
No$6 @ 88.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$6 @ 96.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
No$6 @ 93.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$6 @ 68.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$6 @ 88.5¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
No$5 @ 35.0¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Sports
Yes$5 @ 78.0¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Politics
No$5 @ 94.9¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics
Yes$4 @ 84.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$3 @ 87.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics
No$3 @ 97.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$3 @ 83.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Other
No$3 @ 96.0¢