← Smart money
0xc94a…98e4
SharpEdge
+10.7pp
ROI
+32%
Win rate
60% @ 49.3¢
Brier
0.215
Resolved
260
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (67/133) | +26% | 133 |
| Sports | 67% (4/6) | +3% | 6 |
| Politics | 83% (5/6) | +11% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
- Other133 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (67/133)
- ROI
- +26%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +3%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +11%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
53% hit · 77/146- Punjab Kings$7 @ 11.0¢
- Under$5 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 56.5¢
- Over$35 @ 47.0¢
- No$5 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
- Wuhan San Zhen FC$10 @ 74.0¢
- Under$2 @ 78.0¢
- No$5 @ 72.0¢
- Han Shi$1 @ 7.0¢
- Anna Blinkova$5 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
- No$1 @ 8.0¢
- MOUZ$5 @ 50.0¢
- Nikola Bartunkova$3 @ 87.0¢
- Over$0 @ 14.0¢
- Over$10 @ 46.0¢
- Yokohama F·Marinos$1 @ 9.0¢
- Over$5 @ 38.0¢
- No$3 @ 89.9¢
- No$5 @ 61.0¢
- Samsung Lions$5 @ 48.0¢
- No$5 @ 62.0¢
- Marcus McGhee$5 @ 77.0¢
- Chicago White Sox$25 @ 39.0¢
- No$5 @ 45.0¢
- Team Falcons$5 @ 67.0¢
- Los Angeles FC$20 @ 58.0¢
- Fisher College$5 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
- Under$5 @ 70.0¢
- Kilmarnock FC$5 @ 34.0¢
- Heroic$5 @ 53.0¢
- Anouk Koevermans$1 @ 43.0¢
- No$3 @ 89.9¢
- No$5 @ 65.0¢
- New York Mets$5 @ 53.0¢
- Timberwolves$10 @ 13.0¢
- Under$5 @ 30.0¢
- West Ham United FC$5 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 89.7¢
- 76ers$10 @ 33.0¢
- No$10 @ 80.0¢
- Alina Charaeva$5 @ 42.0¢
- Aurora Gaming$5 @ 70.0¢
- Milwaukee Brewers$5 @ 66.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$10 @ 53.0¢
- Under$20 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | — | No | $1 | 6.0¢ |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | — | Yes | $1 | 7.0¢ |
- No$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢