0xc93c…52f1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc93c86f929a23f8f688d12db7ad2ed736ef652f1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.2pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

50% @ 43.1¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

3915

Avg size

$105

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (123/239)	+30%	239
Politics	34% (17/50)	-54%	50
Geopolitics	35% (8/23)	+20%	23
Crypto	13% (1/8)	-97%	8

Other239 bets
Hit rate
51% (123/239)
ROI
+30%
Politics50 bets
Hit rate
34% (17/50)
ROI
-54%
Geopolitics23 bets
Hit rate
35% (8/23)
ROI
+20%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-97%

Track record

47% hit · 149/320

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?	Yes	$24	8.6¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?	Yes	$209	18.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$973	39.6¢	Won
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	No	$2	42.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$412	44.4¢	Lost
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$211	74.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	Yes	$270	36.0¢	Lost
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?	Yes	$73	29.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$100	82.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	$624	11.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$500	70.0¢	Won
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?	Yes	$50	46.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	Yes	$1.1k	67.7¢	Won
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	$1.5k	53.4¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	No	$5.1k	63.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	Yes	$53	6.9¢	Lost
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	$136	77.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?	Yes	$571	25.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?	No	$100	89.6¢	Won
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?	Yes	$3.2k	42.1¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$850	85.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	$69	69.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$5.6k	19.7¢	Lost
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	$300	16.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?	Yes	$602	16.5¢	Lost
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?	Yes	$3	37.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	$161	19.2¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$114	18.4¢	Won
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?	Yes	$6	4.8¢	Lost
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	$100	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	No	$100	56.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	65.8¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	Yes	$23.2k	36.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?	No	$705	32.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?	Yes	$266	83.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	$1.1k	28.5¢	Lost
Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	No	$100	68.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$100	7.3¢	Lost
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$755	88.4¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$200	69.5¢	Won
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?	Yes	$10	32.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	Yes	$2.2k	71.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	$225	11.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$275	51.6¢	Won
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	No	$1000	87.3¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	39.9¢	Won
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?	Yes	$38	2.6¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?	Yes	$1.2k	86.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	Yes	$878	28.8¢	Lost

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?Lost
Yes$24 @ 8.6¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Won
Yes$209 @ 18.6¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$973 @ 39.6¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$412 @ 44.4¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$211 @ 74.0¢
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Lost
Yes$270 @ 36.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?Lost
Yes$73 @ 29.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$100 @ 82.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Lost
Yes$624 @ 11.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$500 @ 70.0¢
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 46.8¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 67.7¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 53.4¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
No$5.1k @ 63.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Lost
Yes$53 @ 6.9¢
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Lost
No$136 @ 77.0¢
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Lost
Yes$571 @ 25.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 89.6¢
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?Won
Yes$3.2k @ 42.1¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Lost
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$5.6k @ 19.7¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Lost
No$300 @ 16.0¢
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?Lost
Yes$602 @ 16.5¢
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 37.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Lost
Yes$161 @ 19.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$114 @ 18.4¢
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.8¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Won
No$100 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Won
No$100 @ 56.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 65.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Lost
Yes$23.2k @ 36.8¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?Lost
No$705 @ 32.0¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?Won
Yes$266 @ 83.0¢
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 28.5¢
Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?Won
No$100 @ 68.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$100 @ 7.3¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$755 @ 88.4¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 69.5¢
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 71.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Lost
No$225 @ 11.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$275 @ 51.6¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Won
No$1000 @ 87.3¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 39.9¢
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?Lost
Yes$38 @ 2.6¢
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 86.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Lost
Yes$878 @ 28.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$6.4k	29.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$4.2k	37.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.7k	53.9¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$3.5k	25.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2.4k	29.8¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2.3k	29.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1.0k	19.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$922	29.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$739	19.7¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Politics	No	$677	90.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$662	29.1¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$494	90.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$398	45.7¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$362	54.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$270	27.0¢
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$240	32.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$187	32.2¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$112	12.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$94	36.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$56	36.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$53	41.0¢
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$50	4.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$30	3.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$16	16.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	37.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$9	75.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2	23.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$6.4k @ 29.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$4.2k @ 37.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.7k @ 53.9¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$3.5k @ 25.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2.4k @ 29.8¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$2.3k @ 29.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1.0k @ 19.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$922 @ 29.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$739 @ 19.7¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics
No$677 @ 90.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$662 @ 29.1¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
Yes$494 @ 90.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$398 @ 45.7¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$362 @ 54.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$240 @ 32.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$187 @ 32.2¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$112 @ 12.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$94 @ 36.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$56 @ 36.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics
Yes$53 @ 41.0¢
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$50 @ 4.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$30 @ 3.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$9 @ 75.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢