← Smart money
0xc916…e32e
ProfitableEdge
+19.2pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
51% @ 32.3¢
Brier
0.266
Resolved
101
Avg size
$125
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 37% (13/35) | +15% | 35 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | -26% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other35 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (13/35)
- ROI
- +15%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -26%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 14/38- Yes$115 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$160 @ 43.3¢
- Yes$200 @ 15.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$631 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$259 @ 80.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 62.0¢
- No$31 @ 3.4¢
- No$100 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 50.1¢
- No$2.3k @ 30.5¢
- No$130 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 0.2¢
- No$100 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$150 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 51.1¢
- Yes$109 @ 9.3¢
- No$100 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
- No$26 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 25.0¢
- No$200 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 29.2¢
- Yes$122 @ 3.9¢
- No$400 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$39 @ 64.2¢
- Yes$265 @ 53.0¢
- No$181 @ 74.6¢
- No$2.2k @ 36.5¢
- No$113 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$160 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$161 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$80 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 46.5¢
- No$40 @ 28.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 59.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $2.6k | 50.3¢ |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $1.5k | 61.4¢ |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $337 | 74.0¢ |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $193 | 41.2¢ |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $76 | 5.9¢ |
- Yes$2.6k @ 50.3¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 61.4¢
- No$337 @ 74.0¢
- No$193 @ 41.2¢
- No$76 @ 5.9¢