0xc88e…f3e1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc88eb9ab98663254bff489c515f39f23b76bf3e1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.6pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

11% @ 17.0¢

Brier

0.083

Resolved

2528

Avg size

$342

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	16% (4/25)	+95%	25
Other	7% (1/15)	-100%	15
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	-100%	4
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+159%	1

Sports25 bets
Hit rate
16% (4/25)
ROI
+95%
Other15 bets
Hit rate
7% (1/15)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-100%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+159%

Track record

15% hit · 7/47

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$223.9k	84.8¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$66.8k	19.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$13.1k	26.3¢	Lost
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$50	81.0¢	Won
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7.1k	35.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$6.7k	16.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$16	0.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$43	1.1¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.4k	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?	Yes	$192	16.0¢	Lost
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$1.9k	38.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	$7.7k	38.6¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31.5k	6.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$22	2.2¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$294	60.0¢	Won
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$9.4k	20.4¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.2k	9.7¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.8k	1.7¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$1.2k	23.5¢	Won
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$2.5k	32.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	$60	0.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$571	8.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$112	4.9¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31.9k	10.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	$77	5.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	$705	72.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$133.8k	17.1¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.8k	5.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$48	3.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	Yes	$2.5k	5.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$673	45.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	$28	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?	Yes	$1.2k	5.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$30	1.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$33.5k	17.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.0k	5.3¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4.5k	47.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$293	3.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	$564	5.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$17	1.3¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	8.1¢	Lost
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$470	2.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	$40	1.4¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	$266.3k	58.1¢	Lost
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$270	27.0¢	Won

Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$223.9k @ 84.8¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$66.8k @ 19.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$13.1k @ 26.3¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$50 @ 81.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$7.1k @ 35.7¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$6.7k @ 16.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.3¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?Lost
Yes$43 @ 1.1¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3.4k @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?Lost
Yes$192 @ 16.0¢
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 38.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Won
Yes$7.7k @ 38.6¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31.5k @ 6.5¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$22 @ 2.2¢
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$294 @ 60.0¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$9.4k @ 20.4¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 9.7¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 1.7¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 23.5¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 32.3¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?Lost
Yes$60 @ 0.4¢
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$571 @ 8.0¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$112 @ 4.9¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31.9k @ 10.2¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?Lost
Yes$77 @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
No$705 @ 72.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$133.8k @ 17.1¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$48 @ 3.2¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 5.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$673 @ 45.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco?Lost
Yes$28 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$30 @ 1.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$33.5k @ 17.0¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4.0k @ 5.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$4.5k @ 47.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$293 @ 3.2¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?Lost
Yes$564 @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.3¢
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 8.1¢
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$470 @ 2.8¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$40 @ 1.4¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
France$266.3k @ 58.1¢
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Won
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$13.8k	95.2¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$13.5k	81.1¢
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$9.1k	93.6¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$9.0k	90.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$8.4k	84.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$8.2k	70.9¢
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$7.3k	48.6¢
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$6.9k	69.5¢
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$5.6k	74.9¢
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$5.6k	56.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$3.7k	20.9¢
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	No	$3.0k	92.3¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$2.5k	21.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$2.5k	24.9¢
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Sports	No	$1.8k	88.0¢
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$1.7k	10.3¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$1.3k	94.3¢
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	11.8¢
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	No	$1.1k	92.0¢
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	No	$1.1k	87.0¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$979	96.1¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$800	8.0¢
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$548	97.6¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$350	58.4¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$231	77.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$180	2.8¢
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$169	74.1¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$144	7.2¢
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$81	27.0¢
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$16	0.6¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$13.8k @ 95.2¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$13.5k @ 81.1¢
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
No$9.1k @ 93.6¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$9.0k @ 90.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$8.4k @ 84.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$8.2k @ 70.9¢
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
No$7.3k @ 48.6¢
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto
No$6.9k @ 69.5¢
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
No$5.6k @ 74.9¢
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$5.6k @ 56.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$3.7k @ 20.9¢
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
No$3.0k @ 92.3¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$2.5k @ 21.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$2.5k @ 24.9¢
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?Sports
No$1.8k @ 88.0¢
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$1.7k @ 10.3¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
No$1.3k @ 94.3¢
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 11.8¢
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
No$1.1k @ 92.0¢
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
No$1.1k @ 87.0¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$979 @ 96.1¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$800 @ 8.0¢
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$548 @ 97.6¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$350 @ 58.4¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$231 @ 77.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$180 @ 2.8¢
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$169 @ 74.1¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$144 @ 7.2¢
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
No$81 @ 27.0¢
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$16 @ 0.6¢