0xc86d…dcbc

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other72 bets

  Hit rate

  22% (16/72)

  ROI

  -3%

• Sports22 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (3/22)

  ROI

  +122%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -98%

• UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
  Ian Machado Garry$202 @ 25.2¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 17.6¢
• Lighter Airdrop on December 26?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 3.8¢
• FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)Lost
  Real Madrid$1 @ 1.8¢
• Lighter Airdrop on December 24?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 9.4¢
• UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
  Della Maddalena$50 @ 27.0¢
• Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$2.5k @ 84.3¢
• UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
  Ciryl Gane$2.7k @ 49.9¢
• Will Trump say "China" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Lost
  No$1 @ 14.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
  No$6 @ 25.3¢
• Lighter Airdrop on December 22?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
• Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
  Netherlands$81 @ 59.0¢
• Fed rate cut by June 12?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 4.5¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Lost
  Gen.G$6 @ 4.6¢
• Will Unit launch a token in 2025?Won
  No$1 @ 80.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 6.1¢
• Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 2.2¢
• Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
  Yes$402 @ 82.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 0.8¢
• Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$309 @ 1.0¢
• Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston VillaLost
  Aston Villa$33 @ 7.5¢
• Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
• Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
• Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?Lost
  No$276 @ 71.4¢
• UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
  Mauricio Ruffy$24 @ 27.0¢
• US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
  No$88 @ 22.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 67.5¢
• Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
• EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$308 @ 8.3¢
• Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. DortmundLost
  Dortmund$10 @ 0.6¢
• Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Lost
  No$9 @ 11.0¢
• Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
• Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$146 @ 1.3¢
• Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanWon
  PSG$12 @ 59.1¢
• Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanLost
  Inter$10 @ 9.0¢
• Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
• Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 0.5¢
• UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?Won
  Yes$11 @ 18.0¢
• US military action against Iran before July?Lost
  No$140 @ 42.2¢
• Lighter Airdrop on December 23?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
• Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter MilanWon
  Inter Milan$50 @ 71.0¢
• Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Won
  No$161 @ 64.2¢
• Pereira vs. AnkalaevLost
  Pereira$40 @ 51.0¢
• Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 0.3¢
• Will Agora win the USDH ticker?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
• Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$2.1k @ 19.0¢
• Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 2.5¢

Current positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.8k @ 93.0¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 92.3¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$860 @ 71.3¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$704 @ 88.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$639 @ 83.5¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$600 @ 66.7¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$300 @ 75.0¢
• Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$228 @ 91.2¢
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$225 @ 60.4¢
• UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)—
  Ian Machado Garry$202 @ 25.2¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
• Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$177 @ 29.8¢
• Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$154 @ 77.0¢
• Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance—
  Netherlands$80 @ 59.0¢
• Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$77 @ 44.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$47 @ 0.8¢
• Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$36 @ 1.3¢
• Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$24 @ 0.2¢
• UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)—
  Mauricio Ruffy$23 @ 27.0¢
• UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)—
  Dan Hooker$22 @ 18.0¢
• Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$21 @ 2.4¢
• Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$20 @ 20.3¢
• Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$20 @ 0.5¢
• Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$18 @ 0.1¢
• Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Sports
  Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
• Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Sports
  Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
• Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 0.8¢
• Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
• Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
• Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$10 @ 0.2¢