← Smart money
0xc83f…b7a9
SharpEdge
+13.4pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
90% @ 76.3¢
Brier
0.059
Resolved
415
Avg size
$59
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 69% (34/49) | +7% | 49 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +17% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +37% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other49 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (34/49)
- ROI
- +7%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +17%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +37%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
70% hit · 40/57- No$10 @ 67.0¢
- No$10 @ 57.0¢
- No$210 @ 84.8¢
- No$10 @ 18.4¢
- No$10 @ 79.0¢
- No$10 @ 79.2¢
- No$10 @ 20.0¢
- No$10 @ 20.8¢
- No$10 @ 61.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 72.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
- No$10 @ 43.0¢
- No$210 @ 87.1¢
- No$100 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
- No$18.8k @ 85.6¢
- Yes$33 @ 12.1¢
- No$269 @ 59.9¢
- No$178 @ 88.9¢
- No$10 @ 78.0¢
- No$993 @ 81.6¢
- No$10 @ 3.2¢
- No$10 @ 15.0¢
- No$10 @ 89.0¢
- No$10 @ 40.0¢
- No$100 @ 88.8¢
- No$200 @ 88.6¢
- No$10 @ 4.8¢
- No$10 @ 35.0¢
- No$10 @ 42.0¢
- No$10 @ 27.0¢
- No$10 @ 49.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
- No$378 @ 88.4¢
- No$10 @ 72.0¢
- No$210 @ 88.7¢
- No$60 @ 87.7¢
- No$10 @ 26.6¢
- No$210 @ 86.1¢
- No$453 @ 87.8¢
- No$10 @ 65.0¢
- No$210 @ 83.3¢
- No$10 @ 13.0¢
- No$10 @ 75.0¢
- No$110 @ 88.0¢
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- No$35 @ 88.5¢
- No$10 @ 11.9¢
- No$200 @ 88.8¢
- No$10 @ 20.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | Crypto | No | $118 | 69.5¢ |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | Crypto | No | $109 | 90.6¢ |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | Tech | No | $109 | 90.5¢ |
| Myspace relaunched in 2026? | Other | No | $96 | 80.0¢ |
| Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Crypto | No | $92 | 76.6¢ |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | Tech | No | $86 | 85.9¢ |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | Tech | No | $86 | 71.4¢ |
| Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Crypto | No | $78 | 64.8¢ |
| Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Crypto | No | $77 | 63.9¢ |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Crypto | No | $53 | 44.2¢ |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Tech | No | $53 | 87.7¢ |
| Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31? | Business | No | $28 | 23.0¢ |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Crypto | No | $21 | 17.3¢ |
- No$118 @ 69.5¢
- No$109 @ 90.6¢
- No$109 @ 90.5¢
- No$96 @ 80.0¢
- No$92 @ 76.6¢
- No$86 @ 85.9¢
- No$86 @ 71.4¢
- No$78 @ 64.8¢
- No$77 @ 63.9¢
- No$53 @ 44.2¢
- No$53 @ 87.7¢
- No$28 @ 23.0¢
- No$21 @ 17.3¢