0xc73a…8a83

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc73ac6ac0bc221a2de3076d856e179e03dc68a83
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-3.3pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

39% @ 41.8¢

Brier

0.167

Resolved

1580

Avg size

$58

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	42% (36/85)	-12%	85
Other	48% (41/85)	+10%	85
Politics	57% (8/14)	-9%	14
Science	100% (1/1)	+72%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+72%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports85 bets
Hit rate
42% (36/85)
ROI
-12%
Other85 bets
Hit rate
48% (41/85)
ROI
+10%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
ROI
-9%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 87/187

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	No	$473	32.2¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$6	62.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	No	$539	35.0¢	Lost
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?	No	$534	38.0¢	Lost
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$6	64.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	No	$964	51.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	No	$915	52.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	No	$330	31.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	No	$1.9k	55.0¢	Lost
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?	No	$677	21.0¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	$5	43.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$1.3k	34.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	$261	33.0¢	Lost
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$7	73.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	No	$557	24.0¢	Lost
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$3	58.0¢	Lost
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	$1.3k	45.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$1.7k	32.0¢	Won
Singapore Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Anastasia Kulikova	Anastasia Kulikova	$11	75.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	No	$1.8k	41.0¢	Lost
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?	No	$837	34.0¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$45	84.0¢	Lost
Set 1 Winner: Marino vs Sonmez	Sonmez	$3	67.0¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$7	68.0¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$28	60.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$50	88.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	No	$701	37.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	No	$2.7k	49.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	$957	30.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	No	$3.9k	60.7¢	Won
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	50.0¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	$6	57.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$1.4k	36.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	$1.3k	25.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	$162	76.0¢	Won
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	$0	2.7¢	Lost
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?	No	$2.4k	50.0¢	Won
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$3	60.8¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$2.7k	45.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$371	31.0¢	Lost
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)	Tjen	$3	57.0¢	Lost
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$11	61.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	8.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$2	39.0¢	Won
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	$14	71.0¢	Won
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	58.0¢	Won
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	$2	2.7¢	Lost
Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)	Cerundolo	$3	61.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?	No	$5	56.0¢	Lost

Will France win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$473 @ 32.2¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?Lost
No$539 @ 35.0¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?Lost
No$534 @ 38.0¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?Won
Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?Lost
No$964 @ 51.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$915 @ 52.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$330 @ 31.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?Lost
No$1.9k @ 55.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$677 @ 21.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Lost
Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$1.3k @ 34.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Lost
No$261 @ 33.0¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$7 @ 73.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?Lost
No$557 @ 24.0¢
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$3 @ 58.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?Won
No$1.3k @ 45.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$1.7k @ 32.0¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Anastasia KulikovaWon
Anastasia Kulikova$11 @ 75.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Lost
No$1.8k @ 41.0¢
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?Won
No$837 @ 34.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$45 @ 84.0¢
Set 1 Winner: Marino vs SonmezWon
Sonmez$3 @ 67.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
Yes$28 @ 60.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
Yes$50 @ 88.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
No$701 @ 37.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Lost
No$2.7k @ 49.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$957 @ 30.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Won
No$3.9k @ 60.7¢
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevLost
Daniil Medvedev$6 @ 57.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$1.4k @ 36.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?Lost
No$1.3k @ 25.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?Won
Yes$162 @ 76.0¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.7¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?Won
No$2.4k @ 50.0¢
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$3 @ 60.8¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$2.7k @ 45.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$371 @ 31.0¢
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)Lost
Tjen$3 @ 57.0¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$11 @ 61.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.2¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Won
Yes$14 @ 71.0¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.7¢
Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Won
Cerundolo$3 @ 61.0¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?Lost
No$5 @ 56.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$539	35.0¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$534	38.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$473	32.2¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	Yes	$6	64.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	Yes	$6	62.0¢

Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$539 @ 35.0¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$534 @ 38.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$473 @ 32.2¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?Sports
Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Sports
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢