0xc722…1334

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc722c1a1a0bfddf4e0edb3286f7ebce127221334
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.0pp

ROI

+49%

Win rate

38% @ 22.4¢

Brier

0.208

Resolved

4196

Avg size

$36

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	36% (29/81)	+88%	81
Other	35% (21/60)	+50%	60
Geopolitics	0% (0/20)	-100%	20
Sports	22% (4/18)	-20%	18
Tech	20% (1/5)	-44%	5
Economy	33% (1/3)	-23%	3
Science	50% (1/2)	+312%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-37%	2
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics81 bets
Hit rate
36% (29/81)
ROI
+88%
Other60 bets
Hit rate
35% (21/60)
ROI
+50%
Geopolitics20 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/20)
ROI
-100%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
22% (4/18)
ROI
-20%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-44%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-23%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+312%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-37%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

30% hit · 58/192

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$98	4.1¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$12	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?	No	$3	1.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$79	79.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$150	5.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	No	$62	8.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	$43	86.0¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	$134	11.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$205	19.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$146	73.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$11.7k	11.4¢	Lost
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	$79	34.0¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$87	4.3¢	Lost
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$445	7.8¢	Lost
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	Yes	$427	4.0¢	Lost
Will Azure Dragon Gaming Win North America ACE Stage 3	Yes	$11	5.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$224	32.0¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$675	7.4¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$857	49.4¢	Won
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	No	$34	6.6¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$907	10.9¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	Yes	$67	12.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?	No	$2	10.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?	Yes	$124	4.9¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	$31	15.5¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	$130	86.7¢	Won
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	$2	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$14.4k	35.6¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$884	27.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$344	68.8¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	$100	3.3¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$266	11.4¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$1.5k	13.1¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	$22	4.3¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$353	14.8¢	Lost
Will Pigeons Win North America ACE Stage 3	Yes	$4	2.6¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$997	5.0¢	Lost
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$19	18.8¢	Lost
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$656	33.9¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	$250	13.4¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$196	6.6¢	Lost
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?	No	$7	0.7¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$650	2.2¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	Yes	$308	3.5¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	No	$904	5.9¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$6.8k	23.6¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	No	$181	5.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$29	31.5¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$304	50.7¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.6k	11.4¢	Lost

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$98 @ 4.1¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$12 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?Lost
No$3 @ 1.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$150 @ 5.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?Lost
No$62 @ 8.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?Won
Yes$43 @ 86.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Lost
Yes$134 @ 11.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$205 @ 19.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$146 @ 73.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$11.7k @ 11.4¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Lost
No$79 @ 34.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$87 @ 4.3¢
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$445 @ 7.8¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Lost
Yes$427 @ 4.0¢
Will Azure Dragon Gaming Win North America ACE Stage 3Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$224 @ 32.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$675 @ 7.4¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$857 @ 49.4¢
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?Lost
No$34 @ 6.6¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$907 @ 10.9¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Lost
Yes$67 @ 12.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?Won
No$2 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$124 @ 4.9¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Lost
No$31 @ 15.5¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Won
Yes$130 @ 86.7¢
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Lost
No$2 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$14.4k @ 35.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$884 @ 27.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$344 @ 68.8¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Lost
No$100 @ 3.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$266 @ 11.4¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 13.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Lost
No$22 @ 4.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$353 @ 14.8¢
Will Pigeons Win North America ACE Stage 3Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$997 @ 5.0¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$19 @ 18.8¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$656 @ 33.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Lost
No$250 @ 13.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Lost
No$196 @ 6.6¢
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Lost
No$7 @ 0.7¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$650 @ 2.2¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Lost
Yes$308 @ 3.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Lost
No$904 @ 5.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$6.8k @ 23.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Lost
No$181 @ 5.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$29 @ 31.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$304 @ 50.7¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 11.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$275	27.5¢
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$140	1.4¢
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$0	3.1¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$275 @ 27.5¢
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$140 @ 1.4¢
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$0 @ 3.1¢