0xc6fa…51e5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc6fa9a0058f324cf4d33e7ddd4f0b957e5d551e5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+34.9pp

ROI

+49%

Win rate

97% @ 62.3¢

Brier

0.147

Resolved

388

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (32/74)	-0%	74
Sports	59% (20/34)	-27%	34
Politics	50% (5/10)	+55%	10

Other74 bets
Hit rate
43% (32/74)
ROI
-0%
Sports34 bets
Hit rate
59% (20/34)
ROI
-27%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
+55%

Track record

48% hit · 57/118

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	$21	47.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	$55	50.8¢	Won
Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$51	61.0¢	Lost
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17?	No	$21	50.0¢	Won
Will OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?	Yes	$21	29.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	Bushido Wildcats	$5	58.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	$11	63.0¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$5	55.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Titans	Titans	$31	52.0¢	Lost
Juventus FC vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$41	48.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$573	65.7¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$1.2k	62.7¢	Won
Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	$36	64.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	Black Phoenix	$15	58.0¢	Won
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	Francisca Jorge	$25	73.0¢	Won
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets	Baltimore Orioles	$21	48.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	$187	56.7¢	Won
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	Getafe CF	$5	86.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$462	37.9¢	Lost
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	$10	12.2¢	Lost
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5	Over	$5	54.0¢	Lost
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	$4	33.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	56.0¢	Won
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-08-09?	No	$6	34.0¢	Lost
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	$5	68.0¢	Won
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	$5	62.0¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mark Lajal vs Dalibor Svrcina	Mark Lajal	$5	23.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	$5	67.0¢	Won
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	$5	47.0¢	Won
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	89.0¢	Lost
Lexington: Henry Searle vs Lloyd Harris	Henry Searle	$8	48.5¢	Lost
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	$5	52.0¢	Won
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	$8	6.0¢	Lost
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$6	4.6¢	Lost
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5	Over	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round	Team Yandex	$10	73.0¢	Won
National Bank Open: Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep Sonmez	Rebecca Marino	$4	16.0¢	Lost
Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-08-17?	No	$5	63.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$115	74.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	Athletics	$21	69.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	62.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$111	82.3¢	Won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5	Under	$3	85.0¢	Won
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	No	$263	55.0¢	Won
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	No	$268	71.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$100	36.0¢	Lost
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	No	$22	82.0¢	Won
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	$188	88.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	$403	47.0¢	Lost

Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersWon
Texas Rangers$21 @ 47.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Won
Yes$55 @ 50.8¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$51 @ 61.0¢
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17?Won
No$21 @ 50.0¢
Will OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Lost
Yes$21 @ 29.0¢
Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageLost
Bushido Wildcats$5 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?Lost
Yes$11 @ 63.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Invictus Gaming$5 @ 55.0¢
Jets vs. TitansLost
Titans$31 @ 52.0¢
Juventus FC vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$41 @ 48.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$573 @ 65.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$1.2k @ 62.7¢
Athletics vs. Tampa Bay RaysWon
Tampa Bay Rays$36 @ 64.0¢
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageWon
Black Phoenix$15 @ 58.0¢
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaWon
Francisca Jorge$25 @ 73.0¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York MetsWon
Baltimore Orioles$21 @ 48.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?Won
Yes$187 @ 56.7¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Lost
Getafe CF$5 @ 86.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$462 @ 37.9¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Lost
No$10 @ 12.2¢
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5Lost
Over$5 @ 54.0¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
No$4 @ 33.0¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$10 @ 56.0¢
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-08-09?Lost
No$6 @ 34.0¢
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-08-09?Won
Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-08?Lost
Yes$5 @ 62.0¢
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mark Lajal vs Dalibor SvrcinaWon
Mark Lajal$5 @ 23.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersWon
Seattle Mariners$5 @ 67.0¢
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-08-09?Won
Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$5 @ 89.0¢
Lexington: Henry Searle vs Lloyd HarrisLost
Henry Searle$8 @ 48.5¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksWon
Arizona Diamondbacks$5 @ 52.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksLost
San Francisco Giants$8 @ 6.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.6¢
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$3 @ 50.0¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundWon
Team Yandex$10 @ 73.0¢
National Bank Open: Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep SonmezLost
Rebecca Marino$4 @ 16.0¢
Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-08-17?Lost
No$5 @ 63.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$115 @ 74.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsWon
Athletics$21 @ 69.0¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$16 @ 62.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$111 @ 82.3¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Won
Under$3 @ 85.0¢
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Won
No$263 @ 55.0¢
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?Won
No$268 @ 71.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$100 @ 36.0¢
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Won
No$22 @ 82.0¢
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Won
No$188 @ 88.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$403 @ 47.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$759	93.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$623	77.1¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$588	64.3¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$535	32.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	—	No	$342	93.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$307	40.0¢
Raiders vs. Chargers	—	Chargers	$280	74.0¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$210	53.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	—	No	$209	90.5¢
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$177	6.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$161	80.3¢
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	—	Yes	$144	82.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$142	85.4¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$140	16.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$139	90.6¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$126	7.5¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	—	No	$120	88.9¢
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	Politics	No	$113	94.4¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$112	59.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	—	No	$110	72.4¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	—	No	$110	86.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	—	Yes	$110	54.0¢
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	—	No	$105	59.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$98	95.7¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$89	18.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$84	70.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	—	No	$81	96.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Politics	No	$80	91.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$76	52.5¢
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$76	91.0¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
No$759 @ 93.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$623 @ 77.1¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$588 @ 64.3¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$535 @ 32.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?—
No$342 @ 93.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$307 @ 40.0¢
Raiders vs. Chargers—
Chargers$280 @ 74.0¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$210 @ 53.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?—
No$209 @ 90.5¢
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$177 @ 6.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
No$161 @ 80.3¢
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?—
Yes$144 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$142 @ 85.4¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$140 @ 16.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?—
No$139 @ 90.6¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$126 @ 7.5¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?—
No$120 @ 88.9¢
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Politics
No$113 @ 94.4¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5—
Under$112 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?—
No$110 @ 72.4¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?—
No$110 @ 86.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?—
Yes$110 @ 54.0¢
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?—
No$105 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$98 @ 95.7¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$89 @ 18.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?—
No$81 @ 96.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics
No$80 @ 91.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$76 @ 52.5¢
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$76 @ 91.0¢