0xc6c5…6f9c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc6c539db34e0edc6f89254cbe4f31561b9856f9c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.6pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

31% @ 24.5¢

Brier

0.161

Resolved

276

Avg size

$109

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (32/94)	+39%	94
Politics	11% (3/28)	-51%	28
Sports	22% (2/9)	+64%	9
Geopolitics	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other94 bets
Hit rate
34% (32/94)
ROI
+39%
Politics28 bets
Hit rate
11% (3/28)
ROI
-51%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
22% (2/9)
ROI
+64%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

26% hit · 37/142

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$250	19.6¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$400	7.9¢	Lost
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	$39	31.4¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$30	16.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$100	32.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$25	0.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$40	1.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$374	51.8¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$151	35.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$200	43.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$154	1.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$35	14.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$100	5.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	$11	2.1¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$320	17.4¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$100	48.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$102	38.0¢	Won
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?	Yes	$65	10.2¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$31	34.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$500	44.1¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Over	$306	30.0¢	Won
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$100	13.0¢	Lost
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$27	13.0¢	Lost
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	$20	28.0¢	Lost
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	$95	13.8¢	Lost
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$30	6.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$200	36.2¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$51	3.8¢	Lost
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$49	0.5¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$122	48.6¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$150	39.2¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$100	11.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$732	7.2¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	$10	6.0¢	Lost
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	$496	50.2¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$180	39.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Lost
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	$60	34.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$371	9.7¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$253	12.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$300	45.9¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$230	45.0¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$145	9.4¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$20	89.0¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	$44	25.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	$100	16.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$125	11.2¢	Lost
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$365	32.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$600	27.2¢	Lost

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$250 @ 19.6¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Lost
Yes$400 @ 7.9¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?Won
Yes$39 @ 31.4¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$30 @ 16.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$100 @ 32.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$25 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 1.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$374 @ 51.8¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Lost
Yes$151 @ 35.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$154 @ 1.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 14.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$320 @ 17.4¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$100 @ 48.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$102 @ 38.0¢
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?Lost
Yes$65 @ 10.2¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$31 @ 34.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Lost
Yes$500 @ 44.1¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Won
Over$306 @ 30.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 13.0¢
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-25?Lost
Yes$27 @ 13.0¢
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Lost
Club Atlético de Madrid$95 @ 13.8¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?Lost
Yes$30 @ 6.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 36.2¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$51 @ 3.8¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Lost
Yes$49 @ 0.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$122 @ 48.6¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?Won
Yes$150 @ 39.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$100 @ 11.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$732 @ 7.2¢
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?Lost
Yes$496 @ 50.2¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$180 @ 39.0¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Lost
FC Barcelona$60 @ 34.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Lost
No$371 @ 9.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$253 @ 12.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$300 @ 45.9¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$230 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$145 @ 9.4¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Lost
Yes$44 @ 25.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Lost
Yes$100 @ 16.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$125 @ 11.2¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Won
Paris Saint-Germain FC$365 @ 32.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$600 @ 27.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.5k	9.9¢
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)	Sports	Uruguay	$200	38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$200	29.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$199	2.6¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$150	25.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$146	5.3¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$100	6.4¢
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$100	32.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$100	11.0¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$70	0.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$60	9.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Sports	Yes	$50	3.8¢
Trump out as President by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.5¢
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	—	Belgium	$20	21.0¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$13	1.7¢
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$10	8.0¢

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.5k @ 9.9¢
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Sports
Uruguay$200 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$200 @ 29.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$199 @ 2.6¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5—
Over$150 @ 25.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$146 @ 5.3¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$100 @ 6.4¢
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Sports
Over$100 @ 32.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$100 @ 11.0¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$70 @ 0.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$60 @ 9.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Sports
Yes$50 @ 3.8¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.5¢
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)—
Belgium$20 @ 21.0¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$13 @ 1.7¢
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Sports
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢