← Smart money
0xc6c5…6f9c
SharpEdge
+6.5pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
31% @ 24.4¢
Brier
0.159
Resolved
275
Avg size
$107
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 34% (32/94) | +39% | 94 |
| Politics | 11% (3/28) | -51% | 28 |
| Sports | 22% (2/9) | +64% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other94 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (32/94)
- ROI
- +39%
- Politics28 bets
- Hit rate
- 11% (3/28)
- ROI
- -51%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (2/9)
- ROI
- +64%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
26% hit · 37/142- Yes$250 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$400 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$39 @ 31.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$40 @ 1.8¢
- No$374 @ 51.8¢
- Yes$151 @ 35.5¢
- No$200 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$154 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$35 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$320 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 10.2¢
- Real Madrid CF$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
- Club Atlético de Madrid$95 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$200 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$51 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$49 @ 0.5¢
- No$122 @ 48.6¢
- Yes$150 @ 39.2¢
- Yes$732 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$496 @ 50.2¢
- No$180 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
- FC Barcelona$60 @ 34.0¢
- No$371 @ 9.7¢
- Yes$253 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 45.9¢
- Yes$230 @ 45.0¢
- No$145 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$125 @ 11.2¢
- Paris Saint-Germain FC$365 @ 32.8¢
- Yes$600 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$430 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 13.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | — | Yes | $30 | 12.0¢ |
- Yes$30 @ 12.0¢