0xc6b7…9341

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc6b739b0d42664f30619bae935691781d1749341
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

31% @ 24.2¢

Brier

0.144

Resolved

270

Avg size

$66

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	14% (3/21)	+38%	21
Politics	50% (1/2)	-75%	2

Other21 bets
Hit rate
14% (3/21)
ROI
+38%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-75%

Track record

17% hit · 4/23

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	$29	48.8¢	Won
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?	Yes	$3.0k	9.3¢	Lost
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?	Yes	$6	5.7¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$1.8k	8.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	$25	30.0¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?	No	$300	34.1¢	Lost
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	$66	40.0¢	Lost
Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?	Yes	$15	1.5¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will the Conservatives win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?	Yes	$15	3.1¢	Lost
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?	Yes	$379	21.2¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$212	22.1¢	Lost
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$9	1.8¢	Lost
Will the Conservatives win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Conservatives win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?	No	$59	65.4¢	Lost
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	$204	61.4¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$40	5.7¢	Lost
Another Canada election called in 2025?	Yes	$89	11.8¢	Lost
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?	Yes	$1.7k	31.1¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	$94	14.1¢	Lost
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?	No	$78	31.0¢	Won
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?	No	$9.7k	40.8¢	Won

Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Won
Yes$29 @ 48.8¢
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 9.3¢
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.7¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 8.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Lost
Yes$25 @ 30.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?Lost
No$300 @ 34.1¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Lost
No$66 @ 40.0¢
Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will the Conservatives win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.1¢
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Lost
Yes$379 @ 21.2¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$212 @ 22.1¢
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.8¢
Will the Conservatives win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will the Conservatives win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?Lost
No$59 @ 65.4¢
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Won
Yes$204 @ 61.4¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$40 @ 5.7¢
Another Canada election called in 2025?Lost
Yes$89 @ 11.8¢
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 31.1¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
No$94 @ 14.1¢
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Won
No$78 @ 31.0¢
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Won
No$9.7k @ 40.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$348	32.6¢
Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	Politics	No	$86	38.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$66	33.0¢
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$58	26.5¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$35	35.0¢

Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Politics
Yes$348 @ 32.6¢
Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Politics
No$86 @ 38.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$66 @ 33.0¢
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics
Yes$58 @ 26.5¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$35 @ 35.0¢