← Smart money
0xc67a…9b98
ProfitableEdge
+5.5pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
28% @ 22.2¢
Brier
0.234
Resolved
412
Avg size
$58
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 47% (14/30) | +28% | 30 |
| Other | 26% (6/23) | -44% | 23 |
- Sports30 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (14/30)
- ROI
- +28%
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 26% (6/23)
- ROI
- -44%
Track record
38% hit · 20/53- Saga Ballooners$498 @ 23.7¢
- Osaka Evessa$200 @ 10.0¢
- Shiga Lakestars$498 @ 19.7¢
- Diamond Dolphins$655 @ 55.0¢
- Toyama Grouses$1.6k @ 33.6¢
- Toyama Grouses$383 @ 16.9¢
- Brave Thunders$297 @ 21.8¢
- Kobe Storks$216 @ 33.7¢
- Brave Thunders$774 @ 31.0¢
- Akita Northern Happinets$203 @ 18.1¢
- Altiri Chiba$796 @ 38.3¢
- Yokohama B-Corsairs$41 @ 55.0¢
- Brave Thunders$948 @ 32.9¢
- Kyoto Hannaryz$803 @ 53.0¢
- No$245 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$92 @ 2.1¢
- Gunma Crane Thunders$563 @ 62.6¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 18.4¢
- Yes$34 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 20.4¢
- Toyama Grouses$228 @ 20.5¢
- Shiga Lakestars$1.4k @ 25.7¢
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?WonYes$267 @ 88.7¢
- Ibaraki Robots$214 @ 30.0¢
- Saga Ballooners$391 @ 38.0¢
- Diamond Dolphins$879 @ 50.5¢
- Ibaraki Robots$10 @ 23.0¢
- SAN-EN NeoPhoenix$397 @ 54.7¢
- Altiri Chiba$1.4k @ 30.4¢
- Tokyo Sunrockers$1.8k @ 60.0¢
- No$81 @ 20.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 20.0¢
- Toyama Grouses$921 @ 21.9¢
- No$150 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$71 @ 7.3¢
- Altiri Chiba$1.1k @ 24.3¢
- 76ers$1.0k @ 52.0¢
- Toyama Grouses$725 @ 34.3¢
- Tokyo Sunrockers$201 @ 48.8¢
- Toyama Grouses$990 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$580 @ 5.8¢
- Shimane Susanoo Magic$700 @ 35.0¢
- Timberwolves$180 @ 18.0¢
- Diamond Dolphins$1.4k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$582 @ 25.5¢
- No$330 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$665 @ 54.2¢
- Akita Northern Happinets$1 @ 8.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Tokyo Sunrockers$1.8k @ 60.0¢
- Toyama Grouses$1.6k @ 33.6¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 20.4¢
- Shiga Lakestars$1.4k @ 25.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 18.4¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 4.9¢
- Brave Thunders$917 @ 32.9¢
- Saga Ballooners$835 @ 25.4¢
- Altiri Chiba$798 @ 24.3¢
- Altiri Chiba$796 @ 38.3¢
- Brave Thunders$774 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$750 @ 3.3¢
- Shimane Susanoo Magic$700 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$689 @ 3.1¢
- Diamond Dolphins$655 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$579 @ 5.8¢
- Gunma Crane Thunders$563 @ 62.5¢
- Shiga Lakestars$498 @ 19.7¢
- Saga Ballooners$498 @ 23.7¢
- SAN-EN NeoPhoenix$390 @ 54.7¢
- Toyama Grouses$383 @ 16.9¢
- No$330 @ 66.0¢
- Brave Thunders$297 @ 21.8¢
- Kobe Storks$216 @ 33.7¢
- Ibaraki Robots$214 @ 30.0¢
- Akita Northern Happinets$203 @ 18.1¢
- Osaka Evessa$200 @ 10.0¢
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSportsTimberwolves$180 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$177 @ 21.6¢
- Yes$32 @ 0.9¢