← Smart money
0xc662…b919
SharpEdge
+7.6pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
63% @ 55.2¢
Brier
0.101
Resolved
962
Avg size
$115
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (25/47) | +9% | 47 |
| Politics | 64% (23/36) | +21% | 36 |
| Sports | 32% (8/25) | +10% | 25 |
| Geopolitics | 53% (9/17) | +23% | 17 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other47 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (25/47)
- ROI
- +9%
- Politics36 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (23/36)
- ROI
- +21%
- Sports25 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (8/25)
- ROI
- +10%
- Geopolitics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (9/17)
- ROI
- +23%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
51% hit · 65/127- Yes$22 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$44 @ 4.4¢
- No$407 @ 80.6¢
- Yes$547 @ 11.1¢
- No$45 @ 4.7¢
- No$1.8k @ 70.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$132 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$340 @ 85.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 82.2¢
- No$77 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 1.8¢
- No$2.2k @ 70.1¢
- Yes$118 @ 79.9¢
- No$282 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 73.1¢
- Yes$358 @ 71.6¢
- Yes$41 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$359 @ 45.4¢
- Yes$315 @ 2.9¢
- No$777 @ 74.0¢
- No$324 @ 35.1¢
- Yes$195 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 69.9¢
- No$1.7k @ 71.1¢
- Yes$203 @ 2.6¢
- No$18 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$306 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.8¢
- No$99 @ 89.0¢
- No$7.8k @ 79.5¢
- Yes$440 @ 44.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 83.7¢
- No$178 @ 89.0¢
- No$534 @ 89.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 85.6¢
- Yes$135 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 3.0¢
- No$470 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$371 @ 7.8¢
- No$1.5k @ 41.7¢
- No$425 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$152 @ 13.9¢
- No$340 @ 85.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 64.8¢
- No$52 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 1.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ |
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢