← Smart money
0xc658…b784
SharpEdge
+11.4pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
56% @ 44.1¢
Brier
0.209
Resolved
423
Avg size
$5.9k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 59% (20/34) | +30% | 34 |
| Politics | 17% (2/12) | -61% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -49% | 2 |
- Other34 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (20/34)
- ROI
- +30%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (2/12)
- ROI
- -61%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -49%
Track record
48% hit · 23/48- Yes$4.4k @ 89.6¢
- No$25.2k @ 69.9¢
- Yes$259 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$9.8k @ 16.9¢
- Yes$116 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$567 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$302 @ 10.0¢
- No$50.4k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 33.9¢
- Yes$16.8k @ 18.4¢
- No$2.1k @ 65.1¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 49.4¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 82.6¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 19.0¢
- Yes$928 @ 52.8¢
- No$9.5k @ 46.3¢
- Yes$629 @ 1.6¢
- No$12.0k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$15.6k @ 49.5¢
- Yes$48.4k @ 79.8¢
- No$42.3k @ 84.5¢
- Yes$18.2k @ 24.7¢
- Yes$55.4k @ 17.0¢
- Yes$11.6k @ 85.2¢
- Yes$15.9k @ 46.7¢
- No$50.3k @ 46.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 57.2¢
- No$1.7k @ 27.8¢
- Yes$16.1k @ 34.6¢
- No$41.1k @ 87.3¢
- Yes$18.6k @ 27.8¢
- No$2.0k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$28.6k @ 49.1¢
- Yes$6.6k @ 18.5¢
- Yes$16.9k @ 54.1¢
- Yes$286 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$32.7k @ 72.9¢
- Yes$277 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$47.1k @ 19.7¢
- No$106.9k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$216.3k @ 54.0¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 57.4¢
- Yes$932 @ 7.8¢
- No$315.4k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$44.0k @ 23.9¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 50.7¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 2.9¢
- Yes$51.2k @ 15.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Politics | No | $211.6k | 74.2¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $176.8k | 43.7¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Politics | No | $141.0k | 85.9¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $67.1k | 90.5¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $26.1k | 47.7¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Politics | No | $22.5k | 82.7¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2.5k | 48.4¢ |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | Culture | No | $1.9k | 75.5¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Politics | No | $1.1k | 91.0¢ |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $105 | 65.1¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 15.0¢ |
- No$211.6k @ 74.2¢
- Yes$176.8k @ 43.7¢
- No$141.0k @ 85.9¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$67.1k @ 90.5¢
- Yes$26.1k @ 47.7¢
- No$22.5k @ 82.7¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 48.4¢
- No$1.9k @ 75.5¢
- No$1.1k @ 91.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.0¢