0xc5f4…d4b0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc5f4375d8de34af88d2cf5b593dc89c3cf1cd4b0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.4pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

81% @ 68.7¢

Brier

0.158

Resolved

455

Avg size

$142

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (53/84)	+11%	84
Sports	56% (15/27)	-2%	27

Other84 bets
Hit rate
63% (53/84)
ROI
+11%
Sports27 bets
Hit rate
56% (15/27)
ROI
-2%

Track record

61% hit · 68/111

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$71	62.0¢	Won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)	Norway	$45	45.0¢	Lost
Eastleigh FC vs. Southend United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$73	66.0¢	Lost
Eritrea vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5	Under	$59	59.0¢	Lost
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?	No	$401	64.6¢	Lost
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?	Yes	$88	74.0¢	Won
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$36	40.0¢	Won
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)	Feyenoord Rotterdam	$56	53.0¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$904	76.0¢	Lost
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?	Yes	$135	25.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$205	41.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$61	38.0¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Yes	$33	62.0¢	Won
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	$32	45.0¢	Won
Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5	Over	$135	63.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	$1.0k	87.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$137	64.0¢	Won
England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$62	61.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$97	45.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$374	66.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$2.2k	75.5¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$67	48.0¢	Won
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$63	62.0¢	Won
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$72	66.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$3.5k	82.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$122	89.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	$102	27.0¢	Won
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$55	61.0¢	Won
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$56	53.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 28?	Yes	$448	56.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$295	63.6¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	No	$1.7k	78.6¢	Won
Spread: Lions FC (-1.5)	Lions FC	$40	50.0¢	Won
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?	Yes	$642	41.5¢	Won
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?	Yes	$111	70.6¢	Won
Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5	Under	$49	59.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?	Yes	$177	51.0¢	Won
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?	Yes	$790	88.1¢	Won
Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$60	57.0¢	Won
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	Yes	$2.9k	80.5¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?	Yes	$84	44.0¢	Won
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	$58	59.0¢	Won
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advance	KF Víkingur	$83	50.0¢	Lost
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$58	58.0¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$962	74.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5	Under	$71	63.0¢	Won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	$44	54.0¢	Won
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	No	$1.1k	73.7¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?	Yes	$99	33.0¢	Lost
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?	Yes	$62	31.0¢	Lost

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?Won
Yes$71 @ 62.0¢
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Lost
Norway$45 @ 45.0¢
Eastleigh FC vs. Southend United FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$73 @ 66.0¢
Eritrea vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$59 @ 59.0¢
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Lost
No$401 @ 64.6¢
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Won
Yes$88 @ 74.0¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$36 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Won
Feyenoord Rotterdam$56 @ 53.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$904 @ 76.0¢
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?Lost
Yes$135 @ 25.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$205 @ 41.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$61 @ 38.0¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWon
Yes$33 @ 62.0¢
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-09-16?Won
Yes$32 @ 45.0¢
Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5Won
Over$135 @ 63.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$137 @ 64.0¢
England vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$62 @ 61.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$97 @ 45.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$374 @ 66.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 75.5¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$67 @ 48.0¢
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$63 @ 62.0¢
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?Won
Yes$72 @ 66.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$3.5k @ 82.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$122 @ 89.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Won
Yes$102 @ 27.0¢
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$55 @ 61.0¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-20?Lost
Yes$56 @ 53.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 28?Lost
Yes$448 @ 56.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$295 @ 63.6¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Won
No$1.7k @ 78.6¢
Spread: Lions FC (-1.5)Won
Lions FC$40 @ 50.0¢
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Won
Yes$642 @ 41.5¢
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Won
Yes$111 @ 70.6¢
Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5Won
Under$49 @ 59.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?Won
Yes$177 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?Won
Yes$790 @ 88.1¢
Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$60 @ 57.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 80.5¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?Won
Yes$84 @ 44.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?Won
Yes$58 @ 59.0¢
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to AdvanceLost
KF Víkingur$83 @ 50.0¢
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$58 @ 58.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$962 @ 74.0¢
Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5Won
Under$71 @ 63.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Won
Manchester City FC$44 @ 54.0¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?Won
No$1.1k @ 73.7¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?Lost
Yes$99 @ 33.0¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?Lost
Yes$62 @ 31.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?	Sports	Yes	$71	62.0¢

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?Sports
Yes$71 @ 62.0¢