← Smart money
0xc5b5…9c30
ProfitableEdge
+48.5pp
ROI
+81%
Win rate
63% @ 14.3¢
Brier
0.484
Resolved
59
Avg size
$16
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 23% (3/13) | -63% | 13 |
| Politics | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +478% | 2 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (3/13)
- ROI
- -63%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +478%
Track record
21% hit · 5/24- Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
- No$21 @ 7.0¢
- No$200 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.7¢
- No$157 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$15 @ 14.4¢
- No$31 @ 6.9¢
- No$2 @ 9.2¢
- No$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
- No$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$190 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 4.0¢
- No$21 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 17.6¢
- No$100 @ 24.6¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?WonYes$21 @ 18.0¢
- No$5 @ 24.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $200 | 6.3¢ |
- Yes$200 @ 6.3¢