0xc56b…0e6d

Specialization by sphere

• Other117 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (44/117)

  ROI

  +2%

• Politics7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  +16%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  +206%

• Economy3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -2%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$6.2k @ 84.9¢
• Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Lost
  Yamal$430 @ 43.0¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
  Yes$566 @ 39.9¢
• Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Lost
  Yes$137 @ 13.5¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?Won
  Yes$216 @ 72.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
• Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?Lost
  No$5 @ 1.7¢
• Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Won
  No$661 @ 76.9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
• Ethereum all time high before 2026?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 26.8¢
• Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Bayern Munich?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Won
  No$224 @ 24.3¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Lost
  Yes$458 @ 81.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in October?Won
  Yes$11 @ 64.0¢
• Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$233 @ 26.8¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 85.8¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$4.3k @ 88.7¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
  Yes$292 @ 73.0¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?Won
  No$439 @ 86.3¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Lost
  No$202 @ 20.1¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Won
  No$223 @ 89.0¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 8.4¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in February?Won
  Yes$92 @ 20.3¢
• Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Won
  Yes$618 @ 87.7¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 90.0¢
• Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?Lost
  No$636 @ 67.2¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$138 @ 29.7¢
• Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.0¢
• Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?Lost
  Yes$387 @ 31.0¢
• Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
  Yes$4.0k @ 89.0¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?Lost
  Yes$352 @ 8.6¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$42 @ 0.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 46.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
  Yes$47 @ 18.2¢
• US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
  No$58 @ 58.0¢
• Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Lost
  Yes$38 @ 3.8¢
• Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Won
  Yes$351 @ 68.8¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
  No$774 @ 77.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$2.1k @ 26.9¢
• Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?Lost
  Yes$775 @ 17.6¢
• Solana ETF approved by July 31?Won
  Yes$30 @ 30.0¢
• French election called by October 17?Won
  No$304 @ 82.7¢
• Bitcoin new all time high before election?Lost
  Yes$56 @ 49.5¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Won
  Yes$689 @ 82.2¢
• MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?Lost
  No$7 @ 3.0¢
• Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Won
  Yes$393 @ 70.3¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 39.4¢
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Won
  Yes$275 @ 22.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?Won
  Yes$18 @ 46.0¢
• Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$141 @ 85.2¢

Current positions

• Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
  Yes$8.6k @ 17.4¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.0k @ 90.2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.4k @ 87.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.4k @ 91.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 91.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.9k @ 92.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.8k @ 84.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 75.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$992 @ 54.2¢
• Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  Yes$774 @ 89.1¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$694 @ 72.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$500 @ 72.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$457 @ 35.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$419 @ 90.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$49 @ 27.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 84.5¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 9.7¢