0xc518…2594

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other315 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (126/315)

  ROI

  +35%

• Science65 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (29/65)

  ROI

  +37%

• Sports45 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (28/45)

  ROI

  +5%

• Politics42 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (19/42)

  ROI

  +3%

• Culture17 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (7/17)

  ROI

  +2%

• Tech14 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (10/14)

  ROI

  +13%

• Geopolitics7 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (1/7)

  ROI

  -1%

• Crypto5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  -8%

• Economy4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +41%

• Exact Score: Hibernian FC 2 - 2 KAA Gent?Won
  No$282 @ 83.0¢
• Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Lost
  No$1 @ 2.0¢
• Exact Score: Hibernian FC 3 - 1 KAA Gent?Won
  No$225 @ 86.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?Lost
  No$17 @ 48.0¢
• Exact Score: Hibernian FC 1 - 2 KAA Gent?Won
  No$631 @ 85.3¢
• Exact Score: Hibernian FC 2 - 1 KAA Gent?Won
  No$720 @ 71.3¢
• Exact Score: Hibernian FC 1 - 1 KAA Gent?Won
  No$401 @ 53.6¢
• Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
• Will Pamela Evette win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 11.1¢
• Will Evil Geniuses Academy Win North America ACE Stage 3Lost
  Yes$5 @ 6.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 4?Won
  Yes$14 @ 9.1¢
• Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Won
  No$75 @ 82.7¢
• Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Won
  No$181 @ 27.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?Lost
  No$10 @ 6.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?Won
  No$29 @ 19.0¢
• Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?Won
  No$276 @ 63.9¢
• Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?Won
  No$136 @ 89.9¢
• Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?Won
  No$14 @ 3.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 3?Won
  No$3 @ 2.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?Lost
  No$32 @ 85.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?Lost
  No$122 @ 79.9¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 4?Won
  No$5 @ 84.6¢
• Exact Score: England 2 - 2 DR Congo?Won
  No$328 @ 88.1¢
• Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?Won
  No$260 @ 86.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?Won
  No$4 @ 2.0¢
• Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$134 @ 89.2¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$5 @ 3.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Won
  No$4 @ 3.1¢
• Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Lost
  No$15 @ 5.0¢
• Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Lost
  No$17 @ 10.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?Won
  No$3 @ 76.0¢
• Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Won
  No$144 @ 89.5¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 9.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Lost
  No$89 @ 59.0¢
• Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?Won
  No$1.9k @ 79.7¢
• Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
  No$1.7k @ 73.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?Lost
  No$1 @ 9.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?Lost
  No$77 @ 49.0¢
• Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?Won
  No$2.0k @ 85.8¢
• Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Won
  No$48 @ 85.9¢
• Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Lost
  No$0 @ 3.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?Won
  No$22 @ 33.0¢
• Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
  No$125 @ 83.5¢
• Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
  No$116 @ 15.4¢
• Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$531 @ 83.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?Lost
  No$3 @ 1.1¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 30?Lost
  No$12 @ 2.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?Won
  No$51 @ 74.0¢
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$2 @ 1.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 2?Lost
  No$29 @ 53.0¢

Current positions

• Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$5.7k @ 46.9¢
• Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.7k @ 40.8¢
• Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.7k @ 44.4¢
• Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.6k @ 40.5¢
• Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.4k @ 40.2¢
• Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.4k @ 40.2¢
• Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.0k @ 39.2¢
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2.8k @ 38.5¢
• Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.8k @ 34.8¢
• Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$1.4k @ 34.1¢
• Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.4k @ 41.1¢
• Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.4k @ 41.1¢
• Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.4k @ 41.1¢
• Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.4k @ 41.1¢
• Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.4k @ 41.1¢
• Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.4k @ 41.1¢
• Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$1.4k @ 424.8¢
• Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$1.4k @ 424.8¢
• Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 32.9¢
• Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.1k @ 39.4¢
• Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.1k @ 39.4¢
• Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.1k @ 38.8¢
• Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?—
  Yes$1.0k @ 39.9¢
• Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?—
  Yes$1.0k @ 39.7¢
• Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$756 @ 55.5¢
• Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$756 @ 55.5¢
• Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?—
  Yes$755 @ 49.3¢
• Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?—
  Yes$740 @ 49.3¢
• Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?—
  Yes$661 @ 38.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?—
  Yes$636 @ 47.3¢