0xc518…2594

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc5187cb669690150643ba2f9aac6b7d98d212594
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.7pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

51% @ 48.0¢

Brier

0.179

Resolved

2011

Avg size

$15

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	55% (946/1730)	+0%	1730
Other	22% (345/1599)	-20%	1599
Politics	20% (193/944)	-46%	944
Sports	24% (77/316)	-5%	316
Tech	15% (44/294)	-30%	294
Culture	36% (61/170)	-4%	170
Crypto	25% (27/107)	-26%	107
Economy	11% (10/92)	-62%	92
Geopolitics	16% (11/67)	-14%	67
Business	42% (5/12)	+7%	12

Science1730 bets
Hit rate
55% (946/1730)
ROI
+0%
Other1599 bets
Hit rate
22% (345/1599)
ROI
-20%
Politics944 bets
Hit rate
20% (193/944)
ROI
-46%
Sports316 bets
Hit rate
24% (77/316)
ROI
-5%
Tech294 bets
Hit rate
15% (44/294)
ROI
-30%
Culture170 bets
Hit rate
36% (61/170)
ROI
-4%
Crypto107 bets
Hit rate
25% (27/107)
ROI
-26%
Economy92 bets
Hit rate
11% (10/92)
ROI
-62%
Geopolitics67 bets
Hit rate
16% (11/67)
ROI
-14%
Business12 bets
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
ROI
+7%

Track record

32% hit · 1719/5331

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	No	$19	59.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	No	$55	82.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 13?	No	$4	49.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	$123	78.8¢	Won
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	$19	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 18?	No	$10	29.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 13?	No	$56	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on October 13?	No	$39	87.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 15?	No	$3	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 19?	No	$2	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 16?	No	$32	71.5¢	Won
Will Aurora Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026?	No	$32	54.0¢	Won
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	No	$58	39.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 15?	No	$23	48.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17?	No	$40	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 18?	No	$36	79.0¢	Won
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	$20	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	No	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?	No	$10	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16?	No	$31	32.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?	No	$33	27.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	No	$73	54.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	No	$83	45.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15?	No	$47	78.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?	No	$98	75.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?	No	$34	74.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16?	No	$6	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?	No	$39	58.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?	No	$9	10.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	$13	62.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	No	$19	40.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 16?	No	$0	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?	No	$51	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	$92	75.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 13?	No	$5	59.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	No	$27	17.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?	No	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?	No	$10	16.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?	No	$30	51.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	$109	56.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 17?	No	$101	74.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	No	$3	7.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 19?	No	$30	84.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 14?	No	$10	52.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?	No	$57	47.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?	No	$26	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?	No	$12	8.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 17?	No	$36	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?	No	$49	80.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?Won
No$19 @ 59.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?Won
No$55 @ 82.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 13?Lost
No$4 @ 49.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Won
No$123 @ 78.8¢
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Won
No$19 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 18?Lost
No$10 @ 29.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 13?Won
No$56 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on October 13?Won
No$39 @ 87.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 15?Lost
No$3 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 19?Won
No$2 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 16?Won
No$32 @ 71.5¢
Will Aurora Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026?Won
No$32 @ 54.0¢
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Lost
No$58 @ 39.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 15?Won
No$23 @ 48.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17?Won
No$40 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 18?Won
No$36 @ 79.0¢
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Won
No$20 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?Lost
No$1 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?Won
No$10 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16?Won
No$31 @ 32.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?Won
No$33 @ 27.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?Won
No$73 @ 54.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?Won
No$83 @ 45.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15?Won
No$47 @ 78.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?Won
No$98 @ 75.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?Lost
No$34 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16?Won
No$6 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?Lost
No$39 @ 58.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?Lost
No$9 @ 10.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?Won
No$13 @ 62.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?Lost
No$19 @ 40.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 16?Lost
No$0 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?Won
No$51 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?Won
No$92 @ 75.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 13?Won
No$5 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?Lost
No$27 @ 17.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?Lost
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?Lost
No$10 @ 16.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?Lost
No$30 @ 51.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?Won
No$109 @ 56.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 17?Won
No$101 @ 74.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?Lost
No$3 @ 7.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 19?Won
No$30 @ 84.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 14?Won
No$10 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?Won
No$57 @ 47.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?Won
No$26 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?Lost
No$12 @ 8.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 17?Won
No$36 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?Won
No$49 @ 80.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$83	18.7¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$56	20.3¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$47	20.4¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$46	1.3¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$46	1.3¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$46	1.3¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$46	1.3¢
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$46	1.3¢
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$46	1.3¢
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Science	Yes	$42	27.8¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Science	Yes	$42	27.8¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$42	7.7¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$42	7.7¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$39	19.6¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$39	1.3¢
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$39	1.3¢
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$38	18.8¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$37	1.3¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	Yes	$32	11.8¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$29	16.0¢
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$29	4.5¢
Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$28	4.5¢
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$28	4.5¢
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$28	16.1¢
Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$27	4.5¢
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$26	4.5¢
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$26	4.5¢
Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$26	4.5¢
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$26	4.5¢
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$26	1.7¢

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$83 @ 18.7¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$56 @ 20.3¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$47 @ 20.4¢
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$46 @ 1.3¢
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$46 @ 1.3¢
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$46 @ 1.3¢
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$46 @ 1.3¢
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$46 @ 1.3¢
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$46 @ 1.3¢
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Science
Yes$42 @ 27.8¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Science
Yes$42 @ 27.8¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$42 @ 7.7¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$42 @ 7.7¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$39 @ 19.6¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$39 @ 1.3¢
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$39 @ 1.3¢
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$38 @ 18.8¢
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$37 @ 1.3¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
Yes$32 @ 11.8¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$29 @ 16.0¢
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$29 @ 4.5¢
Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$28 @ 4.5¢
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$28 @ 4.5¢
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?Economy
Yes$28 @ 16.1¢
Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$27 @ 4.5¢
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$26 @ 4.5¢
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$26 @ 4.5¢
Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$26 @ 4.5¢
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$26 @ 4.5¢
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$26 @ 1.7¢