0xc468…009d

Specialization by sphere

• Other1525 bets

  Hit rate

  44% (678/1525)

  ROI

  +14%

• Sports61 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (35/61)

  ROI

  +17%

• Politics56 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (25/56)

  ROI

  -3%

• Tech6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  +84%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -97%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +23%

• Science2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -6%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +12%

• Will Trump say "Congo" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
• Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Lost
  No$9 @ 43.0¢
• World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Won
  Yes$113 @ 75.0¢
• Will Leavitt say "DEI" or "Transgender" during the next White House Press Briefing?Won
  No$1 @ 41.0¢
• Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 3.6¢
• Will Trump say "Epic Fury" or "Midnight Hammer" during Women's History Month event?Won
  No$8 @ 64.0¢
• Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?Lost
  No$24 @ 25.0¢
• Will Trump or Melania say "Star" during film screening?Won
  No$0 @ 25.0¢
• Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?Lost
  No$0 @ 31.0¢
• Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
• Will Trump say "Season" this week? (December 8 - 14)Lost
  No$20 @ 43.0¢
• Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 4.9¢
• Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?Lost
  No$1 @ 51.0¢
• Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?Won
  Yes$64 @ 31.3¢
• Will Trump say "Proclamation" during Greek Independence Day event?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
• Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Won
  No$28 @ 79.8¢
• Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?Won
  No$23 @ 23.0¢
• Will Trump say "Rwanda" or "Congo" 12+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?Won
  No$6 @ 37.0¢
• Will Trump say "Rwanda" or "Congo" 12+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 22.0¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
  No$32 @ 76.0¢
• Will the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of December 15?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 15.0¢
• Will Trump say "India and Pakistan" or "India Pakistan" this week? (March 8)Won
  Yes$16 @ 31.0¢
• Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?Lost
  No$63 @ 29.0¢
• Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 6, 2026?Won
  No$16 @ 67.0¢
• Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 6, 2026?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 5.9¢
• Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" while addressing the nation on December 17?Lost
  No$4 @ 20.6¢
• Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Lost
  No$22 @ 72.0¢
• Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony?Won
  No$57 @ 83.0¢
• Will Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?Lost
  No$8 @ 19.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
  No$64 @ 41.0¢
• Will "Ronaldo" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?Won
  No$18 @ 81.0¢
• Will "Ronaldo" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?Lost
  Yes$65 @ 20.4¢
• Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)Lost
  No$47 @ 52.7¢
• Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?Won
  No$1 @ 37.0¢
• Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the Congressional Ball on December 11?Won
  No$1 @ 51.0¢
• Will Leavitt say "Biden" 5+ times during the next press briefing?Lost
  No$14 @ 51.0¢
• Will Inter win Coppa Italia?Lost
  No$71 @ 8.5¢
• Will Inter win Coppa Italia?Won
  Yes$89 @ 54.6¢
• Will Leavitt say "Qatar" or "UAE" or "Oman" during the next White House Press Briefing?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
• US bank failure by March 31?Lost
  No$24 @ 40.0¢
• Will Trump say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?Lost
  No$33 @ 10.6¢
• Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Israel" this week? (December 22 - 28)Lost
  Yes$0 @ 11.0¢
• Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$55 @ 56.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 16.5¢
• FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - WinnerWon
  PSG$15 @ 74.0¢
• Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Won
  No$45 @ 25.1¢
• Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?Lost
  No$18 @ 61.0¢
• Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?Won
  Yes$8 @ 21.0¢
• Will Leavitt say "Stock Market" during the next White House Press Briefing?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 11.0¢

Current positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$316 @ 79.0¢
• Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$220 @ 91.7¢
• Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Politics
  No$125 @ 85.0¢
• US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Politics
  No$103 @ 82.8¢
• Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?Crypto
  No$100 @ 78.1¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Geopolitics
  No$94 @ 93.9¢
• Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$92 @ 92.0¢
• Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$89 @ 89.0¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$79 @ 79.4¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$76 @ 76.4¢
• Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
  No$76 @ 76.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$73 @ 73.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$70 @ 58.3¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$68 @ 68.1¢
• Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$66 @ 94.0¢
• Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$65 @ 93.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$53 @ 76.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics
  No$51 @ 73.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
  Yes$50 @ 55.0¢
• Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics
  No$47 @ 67.0¢
• Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Politics
  No$46 @ 47.4¢
• Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?Crypto
  No$42 @ 69.8¢
• Will Nolo peak at Category 5?Science
  No$38 @ 96.1¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?Politics
  No$38 @ 27.3¢
• Madison Beer and Justin Herbert confirmed married by December 31?Culture
  No$35 @ 52.3¢
• Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?Politics
  No$33 @ 55.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics
  No$32 @ 54.0¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 10, 2026?Politics
  No$31 @ 31.0¢
• Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics
  Yes$31 @ 34.3¢