0xc413…2ca4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc413e04c17da43568e662daed46caea5e9152ca4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.3pp

ROI

+436%

Win rate

4% @ 0.8¢

Brier

0.036

Resolved

780

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	5% (22/449)	+638%	449
Sports	0% (0/58)	-100%	58
Science	0% (0/55)	-100%	55
Politics	43% (6/14)	-10%	14
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+0%	2
Culture	50% (1/2)	+42%	2
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+114%	2

Other449 bets
Hit rate
5% (22/449)
ROI
+638%
Sports58 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/58)
ROI
-100%
Science55 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/55)
ROI
-100%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
ROI
-10%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+0%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+42%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+114%

Track record

6% hit · 33/582

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1	65.0¢	Lost
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1	35.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on April 23?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 21?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on May 20?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on April 12?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 24?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 11?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on June 22?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 24?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 20?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on June 2?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on April 13?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on April 24?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Won
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 11?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 13?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on June 11?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on June 2?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 23?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on June 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 22?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 23?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 20?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on April 24?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 24?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 22?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 10?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 13?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$1 @ 35.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on April 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on May 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on April 12?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on June 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on April 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on April 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 15?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on June 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 15?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on April 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$310	0.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3	69.0¢
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$2	99.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1	24.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$1	65.0¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1	96.4¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	93.9¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	98.3¢
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Culture	Yes	$0	2.2¢
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.1¢
Will Ezequiel Tovar win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Porter Hodge win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.9¢
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.4¢
Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.7¢
Will Shota Imanaga win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.7¢
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.7¢
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.4¢
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.3¢
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.3¢
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.6¢
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.6¢
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.5¢

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$310 @ 0.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 69.0¢
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
No$2 @ 99.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 96.4¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 93.9¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 98.3¢
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Culture
Yes$0 @ 2.2¢
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Ezequiel Tovar win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Porter Hodge win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Shota Imanaga win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢