0xc40b…8c5a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc40b6154ce8db71fdd2596f796848c1a4a058c5a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+24.9pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

50% @ 25.5¢

Brier

0.247

Resolved

127

Avg size

$90

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	9% (2/22)	-33%	22
Crypto	40% (4/10)	+34%	10
Sports	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Tech	25% (1/4)	-31%	4
Politics	33% (1/3)	-44%	3

Other22 bets
Hit rate
9% (2/22)
ROI
-33%
Crypto10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
+34%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-31%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-44%

Track record

17% hit · 8/46

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	No	$540	54.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$25	12.5¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$3	2.5¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$19	19.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$14	14.5¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	Yes	$240	8.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	$2.4k	59.0¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	Yes	$380	19.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 7?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$34	17.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	No	$866	43.3¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$78	19.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$24	4.7¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$32	15.5¢	Lost
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	$24	12.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$63	30.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	$39	3.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$24	0.8¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?	Yes	$20	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?	No	$546	12.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?	Yes	$300	12.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	$37	18.5¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$5	2.5¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	$32	15.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?	Yes	$320	16.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$750	75.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	$30	10.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	$2.3k	57.6¢	Won
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Croatia	$5	1.8¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	Mexico	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.1k	25.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?	Yes	$40	8.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	Brazil	$8	0.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	$1.8k	59.8¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	$52	13.1¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$1.5k	75.4¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$33	16.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$58	56.8¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$170	42.0¢	Won
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	$29	9.5¢	Lost
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Lost
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$86	28.0¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?Lost
No$540 @ 54.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Lost
Yes$25 @ 12.5¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.5¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$19 @ 19.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$14 @ 14.5¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Lost
Yes$240 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6?Lost
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Lost
No$2.4k @ 59.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Lost
Yes$380 @ 19.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 7?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Lost
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Won
No$866 @ 43.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$78 @ 19.3¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$24 @ 4.7¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$32 @ 15.5¢
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Lost
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$63 @ 30.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Lost
Yes$39 @ 3.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$24 @ 0.8¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?Lost
No$546 @ 12.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?Won
Yes$300 @ 12.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Lost
Yes$37 @ 18.5¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
Portugal$5 @ 2.5¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Lost
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$32 @ 15.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?Lost
Yes$320 @ 16.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$750 @ 75.0¢
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Lost
Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Won
No$2.3k @ 57.6¢
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceLost
Croatia$5 @ 1.8¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLost
Mexico$3 @ 3.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 25.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?Lost
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceLost
Brazil$8 @ 0.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Won
No$1.8k @ 59.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Won
Yes$52 @ 13.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$1.5k @ 75.4¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Lost
Yes$33 @ 16.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$58 @ 56.8¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Won
Yes$170 @ 42.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
France$29 @ 9.5¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$86 @ 28.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	Crypto	No	$2.4k	59.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	25.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?	—	No	$745	74.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	—	No	$540	54.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	Tech	Yes	$380	19.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?	Crypto	Yes	$300	12.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	Tech	Yes	$240	8.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6?	Crypto	Yes	$100	10.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Sports	Yes	$84	28.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Tech	Yes	$70	7.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	—	Yes	$61	30.4¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Sports	Yes	$57	56.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?	—	Yes	$40	8.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	—	Yes	$39	3.9¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	—	Yes	$37	18.5¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	—	Yes	$34	17.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	—	No	$32	15.8¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$31	15.5¢
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$30	10.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	—	France	$29	9.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	—	Yes	$27	0.9¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	—	Yes	$25	12.5¢
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$24	12.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$24	0.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	—	Yes	$23	4.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?	Crypto	Yes	$20	1.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	—	Yes	$19	19.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	—	Yes	$15	15.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	—	Yes	$14	14.5¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	—	Brazil	$8	0.5¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Crypto
No$2.4k @ 59.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 25.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?—
No$745 @ 74.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?—
No$540 @ 54.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Tech
Yes$380 @ 19.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?Crypto
Yes$300 @ 12.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Tech
Yes$240 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6?Crypto
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Sports
Yes$84 @ 28.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Tech
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?—
Yes$61 @ 30.4¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Sports
Yes$57 @ 56.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?—
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?—
Yes$39 @ 3.9¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?—
Yes$37 @ 18.5¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?—
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?—
No$32 @ 15.8¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Sports
Yes$31 @ 15.5¢
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Sports
Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance—
France$29 @ 9.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?—
Yes$27 @ 0.9¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?—
Yes$25 @ 12.5¢
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Sports
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$24 @ 0.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?—
Yes$23 @ 4.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?—
Yes$19 @ 19.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?—
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?—
Yes$14 @ 14.5¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance—
Brazil$8 @ 0.5¢