0xc408…7f32

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc408217dec78ade4fe70a768b58de25945217f32
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+22.9pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

74% @ 51.2¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

Avg size

$637

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	73% (22/30)	+73%	30
Sports	25% (2/8)	-49%	8
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other30 bets
Hit rate
73% (22/30)
ROI
+73%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
-49%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

57% hit · 24/42

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5	Under	$355	51.7¢	Lost
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs	Los Angeles Thieves	$21	79.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$350	42.0¢	Lost
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Championship Playoffs	Riyadh Falcons	$888	62.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$507	52.5¢	Lost
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Tabilo	Tabilo	$242	43.0¢	Won
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5	Under	$153	38.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$557	59.1¢	Won
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	Brandon Nakashima	$797	60.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$3.0k	61.0¢	Won
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$30	0.3¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	$2.7k	59.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$203	24.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5	Under	$51	31.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$102	39.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	$1.2k	53.0¢	Won
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Riyadh Falcons - Game 3 Winner	Riyadh Falcons	$102	57.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?	Yes	$5.3k	75.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5	Over	$1.6k	54.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$250	66.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$2.2k	51.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$5.3k	72.9¢	Won
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5	Under	$202	64.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	$1.0k	59.0¢	Won
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$254	45.6¢	Lost
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$23	30.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5	Under	$307	25.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	Over	$6.5k	36.8¢	Won
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5	Over	$4.2k	50.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Over	$407	38.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	Yes	$852	26.4¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$2.4k	25.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	No	$2.8k	56.3¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	$157	10.4¢	Lost
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5	Under	$3.5k	81.9¢	Won
Set 1 Winner: Kudermetova vs Lepchenko	Lepchenko	$52	45.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	B8	$752	59.4¢	Won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5	Under	$408	35.9¢	Won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5	Under	$831	60.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs	TheMongolz	$8	43.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	$720	48.0¢	Won
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5	Under	$355	50.0¢	Lost

Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Lost
Under$355 @ 51.7¢
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor PlayoffsWon
Los Angeles Thieves$21 @ 79.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Lost
No$350 @ 42.0¢
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Championship PlayoffsWon
Riyadh Falcons$888 @ 62.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$507 @ 52.5¢
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs TabiloWon
Tabilo$242 @ 43.0¢
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$153 @ 38.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$557 @ 59.1¢
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevWon
Brandon Nakashima$797 @ 60.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$3.0k @ 61.0¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$30 @ 0.3¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$2.7k @ 59.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$203 @ 24.0¢
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$51 @ 31.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$102 @ 39.0¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerWon
Legacy$1.2k @ 53.0¢
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Riyadh Falcons - Game 3 WinnerLost
Riyadh Falcons$102 @ 57.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?Won
Yes$5.3k @ 75.0¢
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Won
Over$1.6k @ 54.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$250 @ 66.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Won
Over$2.2k @ 51.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
No$5.3k @ 72.9¢
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Won
Under$202 @ 64.0¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerWon
FURIA$1.0k @ 59.0¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$254 @ 45.6¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC$23 @ 30.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Lost
Under$307 @ 25.0¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Won
Over$6.5k @ 36.8¢
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$4.2k @ 50.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$407 @ 38.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Lost
Yes$852 @ 26.4¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 25.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Won
No$2.8k @ 56.3¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Lost
Yes$157 @ 10.4¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Won
Under$3.5k @ 81.9¢
Set 1 Winner: Kudermetova vs LepchenkoWon
Lepchenko$52 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Won
B8$752 @ 59.4¢
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Won
Under$408 @ 35.9¢
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Won
Under$831 @ 60.0¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsLost
TheMongolz$8 @ 43.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Won
Over$720 @ 48.0¢
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$355 @ 50.0¢

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