← Smart money
0xc3ca…688e
ProfitableEdge
+53.0pp
ROI
+164%
Win rate
100% @ 46.6¢
Brier
0.293
Resolved
219
Avg size
$1.1k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 100% (3/3) | +160% | 3 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -32% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +169% | 2 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +92% | 1 |
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +160%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -32%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +169%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +92%
Track record
88% hit · 7/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | Cincinnati Reds | $996 | 83.0¢ | Won |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | $496 | 36.8¢ | Won |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | $779 | 65.0¢ | Lost |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | $5.9k | 38.8¢ | Won |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $217.5k | 37.6¢ | Won |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | $8.1k | 28.6¢ | Won |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | $192 | 33.8¢ | Won |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | Yes | $520 | 52.0¢ | Won |
- Cincinnati Reds$996 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$496 @ 36.8¢
- Chicago Cubs$779 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 38.8¢
- Yes$217.5k @ 37.6¢
- No$8.1k @ 28.6¢
- No$192 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$520 @ 52.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | Sports | Cincinnati Reds | $996 | 83.0¢ |
- Cincinnati Reds$996 @ 83.0¢