0xc381…a661

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc381f8931a266c8cf678532b20b17909c5e7a661
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.0pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

67% @ 50.7¢

Brier

0.050

Resolved

132

Avg size

$314

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	60% (3/5)	+13%	5
Politics	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+11%	1

Other5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+13%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+11%

Track record

71% hit · 5/7

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$623	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$17.0k	81.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	$196	75.9¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$2.2k	0.1¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$14.2k	73.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$29.4k	89.7¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$623 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$17.0k @ 81.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 0.1¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Won
No$196 @ 75.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$2.2k @ 0.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$14.2k @ 73.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$29.4k @ 89.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$962	87.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	—	No	$609	87.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$578	96.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	—	No	$463	92.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$385	96.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	—	No	$285	94.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	—	No	$213	71.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	—	No	$139	93.8¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Tech	No	$5	19.4¢

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
No$962 @ 87.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?—
No$609 @ 87.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
No$578 @ 96.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?—
No$463 @ 92.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$385 @ 96.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?—
No$285 @ 94.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?—
No$213 @ 71.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?—
No$139 @ 93.8¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech
No$5 @ 19.4¢