0xc29d…776d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc29db17c8b7a8a61866e5568a7adaeb57f59776d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.1pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

63% @ 47.6¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

Avg size

$10

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (19/30)	+31%	30
Science	75% (3/4)	+31%	4
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Sports	100% (1/1)	+517%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other30 bets
Hit rate
63% (19/30)
ROI
+31%
Science4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+31%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+517%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

59% hit · 23/39

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Won
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$50	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?	No	$1	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 9?	No	$1	69.3¢	Won
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?	No	$10	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	32.0¢	Lost
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	43.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?	Yes	$20	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?	No	$1	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Won
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?	Yes	$1	49.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	16.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?	No	$10	67.0¢	Won
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?	No	$11	82.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 9?	No	$1	68.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	$5	80.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	$10	49.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: July	No	$11	1.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$26	20.0¢	Lost
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?	Yes	$10	47.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	35.0¢	Won
Megaquake before August?	No	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Trump wins every swing state?	No	$20	75.0¢	Lost
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?	Yes	$2	73.0¢	Won
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?	No	$15	81.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?	No	$2	57.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$230	62.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
US recession in 2025?	No	$20	90.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?Won
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
No$50 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?Won
No$1 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 9?Won
No$1 @ 69.3¢
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Won
No$10 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Won
Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 43.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?Won
No$1 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?Won
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 9?Won
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?Won
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 16.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?Won
No$10 @ 67.0¢
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Won
No$11 @ 82.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 9?Won
No$1 @ 68.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Won
No$5 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Won
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
No$1 @ 18.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyLost
No$11 @ 1.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$26 @ 20.0¢
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Won
No$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?Won
Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
Megaquake before August?Lost
No$2 @ 0.2¢
Trump wins every swing state?Lost
No$20 @ 75.0¢
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Won
Yes$2 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?Lost
No$15 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?Lost
No$2 @ 57.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$230 @ 62.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 9?Won
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
US recession in 2025?Won
No$20 @ 90.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$50	16.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$50	98.0¢
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Politics	No	$20	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$20	94.0¢
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Politics	No	$15	98.1¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Tech	No	$15	79.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$11	74.0¢
China coup attempt before 2027?	Politics	No	$10	97.4¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Politics	No	$10	95.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$10	87.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	6.7¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Politics	No	$5	96.7¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$5	77.0¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$5	10.4¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Science	Yes	$2	32.0¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$2	28.0¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$1	61.0¢
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Politics	No	$1	96.6¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1	89.0¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Crypto	Yes	$1	26.0¢
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?	Crypto	Yes	$1	12.0¢

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$50 @ 16.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$50 @ 98.0¢
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics
No$20 @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$20 @ 94.0¢
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Politics
No$15 @ 98.1¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech
No$15 @ 79.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$11 @ 74.0¢
China coup attempt before 2027?Politics
No$10 @ 97.4¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics
No$10 @ 95.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$10 @ 87.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 6.7¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Politics
No$5 @ 96.7¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 77.0¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$5 @ 10.4¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Science
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?Tech
Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$1 @ 61.0¢
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 96.6¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 89.0¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢