0xc266…2f2f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc26629ee1555084e74c45847e9179880cb4d2f2f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-13.2pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

9% @ 22.6¢

Brier

0.115

Resolved

139

Avg size

$619

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	31% (4/13)	+120%	13
Politics	18% (2/11)	-74%	11

Other13 bets
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
ROI
+120%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
18% (2/11)
ROI
-74%

Track record

25% hit · 6/24

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$250	3.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$50	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?	Yes	$714	0.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$9.2k	32.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8.3k	66.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	16.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$5.0k	66.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	$7	3.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	Yes	$10	0.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2.0k	2.9¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$5.6k	36.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$350	1.5¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$100	3.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$2.6k	41.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$4.5k	8.5¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$6.5k	42.9¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$8.7k	11.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$438	35.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$3.3k	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$16.1k	7.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?	Yes	$100	5.2¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	$802	4.3¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$8.1k	7.8¢	Lost
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	$1000	63.0¢	Won

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$250 @ 3.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$50 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$714 @ 0.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$9.2k @ 32.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$8.3k @ 66.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 16.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$5.0k @ 66.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 2.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Won
Yes$5.6k @ 36.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$350 @ 1.5¢
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$100 @ 3.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$2.6k @ 41.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$4.5k @ 8.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$6.5k @ 42.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Lost
Yes$8.7k @ 11.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Won
No$438 @ 35.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$3.3k @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$16.1k @ 7.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 5.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$802 @ 4.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
Yes$8.1k @ 7.8¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Won
Real Madrid CF$1000 @ 63.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?	—	No	$99	0.9¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?—
No$99 @ 0.9¢