0xc11c…4139

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc11cb040591b24de8d8d31939b16c96b04f74139
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.2pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

69% @ 43.4¢

Brier

0.178

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (14/23)	+20%	23
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Politics	100% (2/2)	+61%	2
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+404%	2

Other23 bets
Hit rate
61% (14/23)
ROI
+20%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+61%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+404%

Track record

60% hit · 18/30

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$2	33.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$7	50.9¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$2	33.5¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$3	48.0¢	Lost
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	$20	57.0¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$22	74.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$10	60.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	10.2¢	Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$2	63.0¢	Won
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Yes	$5	68.0¢	Won
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	$5	32.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner	Karmine Corp	$7	55.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?	Yes	$5	12.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$5	55.0¢	Won
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?	Yes	$1	67.0¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	$20	56.0¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	$43	23.0¢	Lost
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Lost
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	4.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?	Yes	$12	41.2¢	Won
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$7	59.7¢	Won
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	$10	53.5¢	Lost
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	$15	60.6¢	Won

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Won
Yes$2 @ 33.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Won
Yes$7 @ 50.9¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
Yes$2 @ 33.5¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$3 @ 48.0¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Won
T1 Academy$20 @ 57.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$22 @ 74.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Won
Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.2¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$2 @ 63.0¢
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Won
Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$5 @ 32.0¢
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 WinnerWon
Karmine Corp$7 @ 55.0¢
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Won
Yes$5 @ 55.0¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?Won
Yes$1 @ 67.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Karmine Corp$20 @ 56.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Movistar KOI$43 @ 23.0¢
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?Won
Yes$12 @ 41.2¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-21?Won
Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?Won
Yes$7 @ 59.7¢
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming$10 @ 53.5¢
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?Lost
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Won
No$15 @ 60.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$703	52.8¢
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$20	64.0¢
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Politics	No	$5	14.0¢

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$703 @ 52.8¢
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$20 @ 64.0¢
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics
No$5 @ 14.0¢