0xc104…e684

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc104db0d325238b721c407b44f14f70bb6b1e684
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.4pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

53% @ 47.7¢

Brier

0.222

Resolved

1512

Avg size

$48

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	56% (250/449)	+15%	449
Other	51% (45/89)	+0%	89

Sports449 bets
Hit rate
56% (250/449)
ROI
+15%
Other89 bets
Hit rate
51% (45/89)
ROI
+0%

Track record

55% hit · 295/538

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	fnatic	$205	41.0¢	Won
Overwatch: 99DIVINE vs MURASH GAMING (BO7) - OCS Japan Stage 3 Playoffs	99DIVINE	$153	51.0¢	Lost
Overwatch: Spacestation Gaming vs Disguised (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group Stage	Spacestation Gaming	$170	85.0¢	Won
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Falcons	$7	53.0¢	Lost
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Patriots	$230	46.0¢	Lost
Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	$17	92.0¢	Lost
Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	$76	55.2¢	Won
Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	$10	25.4¢	Lost
Overwatch: NTMR vs Disguised (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group Stage	Disguised	$117	39.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	$63	63.0¢	Won
LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	UCAM Esports Club	$213	70.0¢	Won
Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce Nakashima	Darwin Blanch	$98	64.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	Team Liquid	$104	52.0¢	Lost
Spread: USC (-21.5)	Rutgers	$42	51.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)	Maryville University	$100	50.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	NIP	$1	21.0¢	Lost
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 3 Winner	LOS	$110	55.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	BNK FEARX	$141	47.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)	Nongshim RedForce	$198	66.0¢	Won
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	Solary	$180	36.0¢	Lost
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 2 Winner	TLN Pirates	$93	47.5¢	Won
Dota 2: Execration vs Royal Bear (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Royal Bear	$600	60.0¢	Won
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	HANJIN BRION	$138	46.0¢	Won
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	$253	57.6¢	Lost
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	Team Falcons	$220	55.0¢	Won
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Hayato Matsuoka	Hayato Matsuoka	$9	33.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	GamerLegion	$31	62.0¢	Lost
LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	Valerion	$106	53.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Natus Vincere	$78	39.0¢	Lost
Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner	LOUD	$6	54.0¢	Won
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	Shopify Rebellion	$177	59.0¢	Won
Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	$260	52.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	$94	47.0¢	Lost
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	$440	44.0¢	Won
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	NRG	$270	54.0¢	Lost
Plovdiv 4: Jonas Forejtek vs Maxime Chazal	Jonas Forejtek	$136	62.0¢	Won
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez	Juncheng Shang	$85	57.0¢	Won
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner	Natus Vincere	$42	35.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	$38	32.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	$148	49.0¢	Won
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	$268	67.0¢	Lost
LoL: Valerion vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	The Ruddy Sack	$55	46.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	9z	$114	57.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	G2 Ares	$39	39.0¢	Lost
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Bears	$20	53.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5)	Anubis Gaming	$135	27.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group B	Virtus.pro	$154	50.0¢	Lost
LoL: MAGAZA vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	MAGAZA	$52	35.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)	JD Gaming	$49	41.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A	Sangal	$68	34.0¢	Lost

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 PlayoffsWon
fnatic$205 @ 41.0¢
Overwatch: 99DIVINE vs MURASH GAMING (BO7) - OCS Japan Stage 3 PlayoffsLost
99DIVINE$153 @ 51.0¢
Overwatch: Spacestation Gaming vs Disguised (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group StageWon
Spacestation Gaming$170 @ 85.0¢
Spread: Bears (-3.5)Lost
Falcons$7 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Lost
Patriots$230 @ 46.0¢
Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?Lost
No$17 @ 92.0¢
Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?Won
No$76 @ 55.2¢
Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 25.4¢
Overwatch: NTMR vs Disguised (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group StageLost
Disguised$117 @ 39.0¢
Rams vs. EaglesWon
Rams$63 @ 63.0¢
LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWon
UCAM Esports Club$213 @ 70.0¢
Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce NakashimaWon
Darwin Blanch$98 @ 64.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLost
Team Liquid$104 @ 52.0¢
Spread: USC (-21.5)Won
Rutgers$42 @ 51.0¢
Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)Won
Maryville University$100 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group ALost
NIP$1 @ 21.0¢
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerLost
LOS$110 @ 55.0¢
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Lost
BNK FEARX$141 @ 47.0¢
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Won
Nongshim RedForce$198 @ 66.0¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsLost
Solary$180 @ 36.0¢
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 2 WinnerWon
TLN Pirates$93 @ 47.5¢
Dota 2: Execration vs Royal Bear (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Royal Bear$600 @ 60.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
HANJIN BRION$138 @ 46.0¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
G2 Esports$253 @ 57.6¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)Won
Team Falcons$220 @ 55.0¢
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Hayato MatsuokaLost
Hayato Matsuoka$9 @ 33.0¢
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ALost
GamerLegion$31 @ 62.0¢
LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWon
Valerion$106 @ 53.0¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLost
Natus Vincere$78 @ 39.0¢
Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerWon
LOUD$6 @ 54.0¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageWon
Shopify Rebellion$177 @ 59.0¢
Falcons vs. SaintsLost
Saints$260 @ 52.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLost
LYON$94 @ 47.0¢
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsWon
LOUD$440 @ 44.0¢
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsLost
NRG$270 @ 54.0¢
Plovdiv 4: Jonas Forejtek vs Maxime ChazalWon
Jonas Forejtek$136 @ 62.0¢
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezWon
Juncheng Shang$85 @ 57.0¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$42 @ 35.0¢
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A PlayoffsWon
RED Canids Academy$38 @ 32.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerWon
Spirit$148 @ 49.0¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLost
FlyQuest$268 @ 67.0¢
LoL: Valerion vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWon
The Ruddy Sack$55 @ 46.0¢
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Lost
9z$114 @ 57.0¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLost
G2 Ares$39 @ 39.0¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Won
Bears$20 @ 53.0¢
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5)Lost
Anubis Gaming$135 @ 27.0¢
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group BLost
Virtus.pro$154 @ 50.0¢
LoL: MAGAZA vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWon
MAGAZA$52 @ 35.0¢
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Won
JD Gaming$49 @ 41.0¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group ALost
Sangal$68 @ 34.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Sports	Solary	$1.3k	51.0¢
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$1.2k	94.4¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Bilibili Gaming	$820	82.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Gen.G	$800	80.0¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	Sports	Alliance	$590	59.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Anyone's Legend	$384	64.0¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Sports	Yes	$310	62.0¢
Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BESTIA Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B	—	MEIA NOITE	$174	58.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BIG (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	Sports	TheMongolz	$156	50.0¢
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$150	15.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Hanwha Life Esports	$138	77.0¢
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$94	4.7¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	CTBC Flying Oyster	$84	28.0¢
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$42	0.4¢
Valorant: FENNEL Female vs MIBR GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Sports	FENNEL Female	$35	19.0¢
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$24	1.2¢
Will the Houston Texans have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$17	27.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Sports	MOUZ	$4	81.0¢

LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSports
Solary$1.3k @ 51.0¢
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$1.2k @ 94.4¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Bilibili Gaming$820 @ 82.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Gen.G$800 @ 80.0¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club PlayoffsSports
Alliance$590 @ 59.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Anyone's Legend$384 @ 64.0¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
Yes$310 @ 62.0¢
Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BESTIA Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B—
MEIA NOITE$174 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BIG (BO3) - 1win Private Club PlayoffsSports
TheMongolz$156 @ 50.0¢
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Hanwha Life Esports$138 @ 77.0¢
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$94 @ 4.7¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
CTBC Flying Oyster$84 @ 28.0¢
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$42 @ 0.4¢
Valorant: FENNEL Female vs MIBR GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship PlayoffsSports
FENNEL Female$35 @ 19.0¢
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$24 @ 1.2¢
Will the Houston Texans have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Sports
Yes$17 @ 27.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSports
MOUZ$4 @ 81.0¢