← Smart money
0xc021…1fa8
SharpEdge
+13.9pp
ROI
+36%
Win rate
55% @ 41.0¢
Brier
0.162
Resolved
1137
Avg size
$241
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 22% (28/129) | +24% | 129 |
| Politics | 57% (58/102) | +25% | 102 |
| Other | 35% (8/23) | -14% | 23 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (10/15) | -4% | 15 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports129 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (28/129)
- ROI
- +24%
- Politics102 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (58/102)
- ROI
- +25%
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (8/23)
- ROI
- -14%
- Geopolitics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (10/15)
- ROI
- -4%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
38% hit · 104/271- Under$0 @ 0.0¢
- No$9 @ 73.0¢
- Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?LostYes$94 @ 12.3¢
- Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?LostYes$46 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$62 @ 4.6¢
- No$4.9k @ 97.7¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 28.2¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 20.7¢
- Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?WonYes$12 @ 72.0¢
- No$23.4k @ 82.7¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$18.2k @ 91.0¢
- Yes$192 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$95 @ 11.7¢
- Yes$68 @ 10.5¢
- No$70 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$181 @ 72.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
- No$178 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$56 @ 9.8¢
- No$1.7k @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 19.5¢
- No$422 @ 98.3¢
- No$4.2k @ 19.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 56.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 41.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 84.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$488 @ 59.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 60.9¢
- Yes$926 @ 92.6¢
- Yes$540 @ 62.5¢
- No$39 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 24.0¢
- No$768 @ 38.6¢
- No$2.1k @ 26.6¢
- Yes$137 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 85.8¢
- Yes$771 @ 40.5¢
- No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$4.3k @ 86.0¢
- No$180 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$119 @ 26.0¢
- No$800 @ 90.0¢
- No$27 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$506 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 94.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$59.2k @ 83.1¢
- Yes$20.7k @ 38.3¢
- Yes$13.7k @ 34.0¢
- Yes$8.6k @ 28.6¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 91.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 19.1¢
- No$3.7k @ 97.6¢
- No$3.6k @ 53.3¢
- No$3.5k @ 85.5¢
- No$2.1k @ 26.6¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 23.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 19.5¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 1.9¢
- No$1.8k @ 59.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 69.5¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 11.2¢
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$1.2k @ 78.7¢
- No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$985 @ 68.4¢
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboGeopoliticsYes$946 @ 19.1¢
- No$871 @ 60.9¢
- Yes$792 @ 72.1¢
- Yes$772 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$770 @ 38.5¢
- No$735 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$708 @ 4.3¢
- No$539 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$488 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$479 @ 46.9¢