← Smart money
0xc021…1fa8
SharpEdge
+7.7pp
ROI
+31%
Win rate
34% @ 26.3¢
Brier
0.114
Resolved
1718
Avg size
$161
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 20% (25/125) | +19% | 125 |
| Politics | 49% (19/39) | +38% | 39 |
| Other | 35% (8/23) | -20% | 23 |
| Geopolitics | 64% (9/14) | -4% | 14 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports125 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (25/125)
- ROI
- +19%
- Politics39 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (19/39)
- ROI
- +38%
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (8/23)
- ROI
- -20%
- Geopolitics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (9/14)
- ROI
- -4%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
30% hit · 61/203- Yes$132 @ 8.7¢
- No$4.0k @ 80.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 26.5¢
- Yes$248 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$318 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$601 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 10.6¢
- Yes$53 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$675 @ 61.5¢
- Yes$141 @ 2.6¢
- No$1.3k @ 63.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 16.1¢
- No$132 @ 66.0¢
- No$13.9k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 46.3¢
- No$4.1k @ 40.8¢
- No$1.2k @ 30.5¢
- United States$2.7k @ 54.0¢
- Yes$535 @ 32.2¢
- No$4.4k @ 77.8¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 70.0¢
- No$220 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$105.2k @ 52.2¢
- No$10.9k @ 24.9¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 81.2¢
- Team Liquid$2.0k @ 38.0¢
- Mexico$3.9k @ 35.2¢
- Yes$252 @ 3.2¢
- No$38.3k @ 63.3¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 49.1¢
- Yes$55 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 22.0¢
- Yes$240 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$498 @ 33.2¢
- No$2.5k @ 89.1¢
- Yes$58 @ 1.9¢
- No$90 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$170 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$603 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$481 @ 88.0¢
- France$2.9k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$985 @ 65.7¢
- Yes$20.9k @ 59.7¢
- No$712 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 13.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$96 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$166 @ 1.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$33.8k @ 81.7¢
- Yes$21.4k @ 37.6¢
- No$6.6k @ 63.5¢
- No$6.1k @ 85.4¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 26.3¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 29.9¢
- No$5.1k @ 97.7¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 44.3¢
- No$4.3k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 20.5¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$3.2k @ 69.7¢
- No$1.8k @ 40.6¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 1.9¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 11.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 53.5¢
- No$1.2k @ 60.9¢
- No$1.0k @ 77.3¢
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboGeopoliticsYes$946 @ 19.1¢
- Yes$885 @ 14.2¢
- Yes$830 @ 40.6¢
- Yes$770 @ 38.5¢
- No$670 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$601 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$540 @ 62.5¢
- No$507 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$458 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$441 @ 8.9¢
- No$422 @ 98.3¢
- 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPoliticsYes$413 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$241 @ 4.5¢