← Smart money
0xbfe2…1913
SharpEdge
+9.9pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
46% @ 36.5¢
Brier
0.077
Resolved
125
Avg size
$200
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 38% (3/8) | +14% | 8 |
| Politics | 43% (3/7) | +35% | 7 |
| Other | 100% (3/3) | +105% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | +26% | 3 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (3/8)
- ROI
- +14%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +35%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +105%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +26%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
48% hit · 11/23- Yes$198 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 19.4¢
- Colts$33 @ 65.0¢
- No$150 @ 10.0¢
- No$285 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 77.7¢
- No$35 @ 14.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 86.9¢
- No$104 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
- No$125 @ 5.0¢
- No$580 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$369 @ 32.9¢
- Yes$632 @ 5.7¢
- No$2.4k @ 75.9¢
- No$79 @ 12.5¢
- No$3.3k @ 68.9¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
- No$7.8k @ 71.3¢
- Yes$820 @ 15.0¢
- Bills$485 @ 69.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 4.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Politics | No | $657 | 64.8¢ |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Tech | Yes | $152 | 1.5¢ |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $77 | 11.0¢ |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Tech | Yes | $38 | 0.6¢ |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Tech | Yes | $14 | 1.6¢ |
- No$657 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$152 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$77 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$14 @ 1.6¢